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Crafts · The Breakout Collection

prices updated 24.10 01:22 MSK

$≈

The Breakout Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +84.58$

Invest 153.96$

Average return 238.53$

ROI +54.9%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 392.97 $, profit at most −154.43 $

float premium: at least 139 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

25.40 $

at 25.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +7.41 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0229
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 66.23 $ +40.82 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0534

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

128.55 $

at 14.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.50 $ +23.22 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0485
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 46.29 $ +32.00 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0692

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 153.96 $ +84.58 (+54.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −84 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

127.02 $

at 25.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +7.41 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0234
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 66.23 $ +40.82 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0546

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

32.81 $

at 32.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) — 43.14 $ +10.33 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0233
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 66.23 $ +33.42 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0163

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

57.14 $

at 14.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) — 15.86 $ +1.57 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0700–0.0716
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.50 $ +23.22 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0501

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 216.96 $ +3.91 (+1.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

50.81 $

at 25.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +7.41 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0227
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 66.23 $ +40.82 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0531

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

114.27 $

at 14.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.50 $ +23.22 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0479
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 46.29 $ +32.00 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0685

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 165.08 $ +69.93 (+42.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −26 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

76.21 $

at 25.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +7.41 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0226
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 66.23 $ +40.82 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0527

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

99.99 $

at 14.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.50 $ +23.22 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0473
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 46.29 $ +32.00 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0677

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 176.20 $ +55.27 (+31.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −43 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

101.61 $

at 25.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +7.41 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0224
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 66.23 $ +40.82 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0523

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

85.70 $

at 14.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.50 $ +23.22 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0467
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 46.29 $ +32.00 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0668

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 187.32 $ +40.62 (+21.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

383.20 $ 45.00%

rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

173.56 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

220.03 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

255.46 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 only The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +46.68 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +75.60 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3346660 · The Gallery Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 89.69$ · invest 149.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075120 instead of 0.076421
Craft 3354396 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 89.33$ · invest 146.56$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3349288 · The Glove Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 88.60$ · invest 145.36$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074696 instead of 0.076421
Craft 3353195 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 85.04$ · invest 163.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −14 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3357139 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 80.99$ · invest 168.22$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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