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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +28.52$

Invest 102.99$

Average return 131.50$

ROI +27.7%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 257.14 $, profit at most −125.63 $

float premium: at least 152 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

P250 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

13.44 $

at 13.44

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 14.30 $ +0.86 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 19.88 $ +6.43 $ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0000–0.0576

Steam

×1

P90 | Shapewood

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4915

8.89 $

at 8.89

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Battle-Scarred) — 9.01 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.4500–0.4890
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested) — 14.20 $ +5.31 $ per item · on the market 399 · buy 0.1500–0.3293

Steam

×8

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

80.66 $

at 10.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 30.90 $ +20.82 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0385
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 58.81 $ +48.73 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0000–0.0258

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 102.99 $ +28.52 (+27.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×9

P250 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1816

120.98 $

at 13.44

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 14.30 $ +0.86 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0700–0.0907
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 19.88 $ +6.43 $ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0000–0.0698

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1816

10.08 $

at 10.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 30.90 $ +20.82 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0586
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 58.81 $ +48.73 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0000–0.0392

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 131.07 $ +9.78 (+7.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

P250 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

53.77 $

at 13.44

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 14.30 $ +0.86 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0700–0.0783
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 19.88 $ +6.43 $ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0000–0.0603

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3862

9.08 $

at 9.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested) — 11.41 $ +2.33 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.1500–0.3468
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested) — 14.20 $ +5.12 $ per item · on the market 399 · buy 0.1500–0.2323

Steam

×5

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

50.41 $

at 10.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 30.90 $ +20.82 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0429
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 58.81 $ +48.73 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0000–0.0287

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 113.26 $ +21.75 (+19.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

P250 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

67.21 $

at 13.44

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 14.30 $ +0.86 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 19.88 $ +6.43 $ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0000–0.0577

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3853

9.08 $

at 9.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested) — 11.41 $ +2.33 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.1500–0.3455
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested) — 14.20 $ +5.12 $ per item · on the market 399 · buy 0.1500–0.2314

Steam

×4

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

40.33 $

at 10.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 30.90 $ +20.82 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0386
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 58.81 $ +48.73 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0000–0.0259

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 116.62 $ +19.56 (+16.8%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

P250 | Asiimov

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3851

13.29 $

at 13.29

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested) — 13.47 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.1500–0.2439
AUG | Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) — 13.71 $ +0.42 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.1500–0.3167

Steam

×6

P250 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1667

80.66 $

at 13.44

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 14.30 $ +0.86 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 19.88 $ +6.43 $ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0000–0.0571

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1667

30.25 $

at 10.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 30.90 $ +20.82 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0377
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 58.81 $ +48.73 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0000–0.0252

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 124.19 $ +14.32 (+11.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Royal Paladin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

183.91 $ 45.00%

rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

worst

R8 Revolver | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

115.86 $ 45.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

165.01 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.086624

161.63 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

Variant 2 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.64 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +24.55 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Revolver Case Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3338743 · The Chroma Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 27.22$ · invest 103.30$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); P90 | Shapewood (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.482859 instead of 0.491571; G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163741 instead of 0.167384

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build