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The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +115.01₴

Invest 399.74₴

Average return 514.75₴

ROI +28.8%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 961.26 ₴, profit at most −446.51 ₴

float premium: at least 518 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4879

29.92 ₴

at 9.97

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.27 ₴ +11.30 ₴ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.0700–0.0732
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.26 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0700–0.1187
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.64 ₴ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0700–0.0879

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

270.93 ₴

at 45.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New) — 50.77 ₴ +5.61 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) — 50.83 ₴ +5.67 ₴ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.0000–0.0041
StatTrak™ MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) — 51.49 ₴ +6.33 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.0000–0.0046

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

98.89 ₴

at 98.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) — 146.28 ₴ +47.40 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.1500–0.2113
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Minimal Wear) — 166.71 ₴ +67.82 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0700–0.0817
StatTrak™ Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested) — 175.54 ₴ +76.66 ₴ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.1500–0.2044

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 399.74 ₴ +115.01 (+28.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −201 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

316.09 ₴

at 45.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New) — 50.77 ₴ +5.61 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) — 50.83 ₴ +5.67 ₴ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
StatTrak™ MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) — 51.49 ₴ +6.33 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.0000–0.0052

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

296.66 ₴

at 98.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) — 146.28 ₴ +47.40 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.1500–0.2146
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Minimal Wear) — 166.71 ₴ +67.82 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0700–0.0836
StatTrak™ Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested) — 175.54 ₴ +76.66 ₴ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.1500–0.2090

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 612.74 ₴ +5.29 (+0.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −60 ₴

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4794

19.95 ₴

at 9.97

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.26 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0700–0.1072
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.64 ₴ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0700–0.0794
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) — 45.16 ₴ +35.18 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0688

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

270.93 ₴

at 45.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New) — 50.77 ₴ +5.61 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0036
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) — 50.83 ₴ +5.67 ₴ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.0000–0.0032
StatTrak™ MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) — 51.49 ₴ +6.33 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.0000–0.0036

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

197.77 ₴

at 98.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) — 146.28 ₴ +47.40 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.1500–0.2050
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Minimal Wear) — 166.71 ₴ +67.82 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0700–0.0783
StatTrak™ Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested) — 175.54 ₴ +76.66 ₴ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.1500–0.1959

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 488.65 ₴ +77.74 (+15.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 58%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

315.38 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Firefight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

618.94 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

863.84 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Factory New

float up to 0.030099

273.58 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

591.06 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

222.22 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 962.35 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

713.28 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

481.71 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

253.00 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +15.45 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +101.59 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build