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The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1.19₴

Invest 96.40₴

Average return 97.59₴

ROI +1.2%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 221.38 ₴, profit at most −123.78 ₴

float premium: at least 103 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +2.74 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

42.32 ₴

at 14.11

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 21.43 ₴ +7.32 ₴ per item · on the market 622 · buy 0.0000–0.0203
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 31.25 ₴ +17.15 ₴ per item · on the market 319 · buy 0.0200–0.0411
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 32.40 ₴ +18.29 ₴ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.0000–0.0244

Steam

×3

Galil AR | Destroyer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

20.69 ₴

at 6.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 8.35 ₴ +1.45 ₴ per item · on the market 674 · buy 0.0700–0.1066
Glock-18 | Winterized (Minimal Wear) — 8.55 ₴ +1.65 ₴ per item · on the market 799 · buy 0.0700–0.1066
M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) — 8.78 ₴ +1.89 ₴ per item · on the market 1 086 · buy 0.0700–0.1066

Steam

×4

Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

33.39 ₴

at 8.35

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Winterized (Minimal Wear) — 8.55 ₴ +0.20 ₴ per item · on the market 799 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) — 8.78 ₴ +0.43 ₴ per item · on the market 1 086 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Minimal Wear) — 8.86 ₴ +0.51 ₴ per item · on the market 961 · buy 0.0700–0.0746

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 96.40 ₴ +1.19 (+1.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

28.21 ₴

at 14.11

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 21.43 ₴ +7.32 ₴ per item · on the market 622 · buy 0.0000–0.0231
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 31.25 ₴ +17.15 ₴ per item · on the market 319 · buy 0.0200–0.0440
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 32.40 ₴ +18.29 ₴ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.0000–0.0277

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

6.90 ₴

at 6.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 8.35 ₴ +1.45 ₴ per item · on the market 674 · buy 0.0700–0.1081
Glock-18 | Winterized (Minimal Wear) — 8.55 ₴ +1.65 ₴ per item · on the market 799 · buy 0.0700–0.1081
M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) — 8.78 ₴ +1.89 ₴ per item · on the market 1 086 · buy 0.0700–0.1081

Steam

×7

Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

58.44 ₴

at 8.35

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Winterized (Minimal Wear) — 8.55 ₴ +0.20 ₴ per item · on the market 799 · buy 0.0700–0.0757
M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) — 8.78 ₴ +0.43 ₴ per item · on the market 1 086 · buy 0.0700–0.0757
MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Minimal Wear) — 8.86 ₴ +0.51 ₴ per item · on the market 961 · buy 0.0700–0.0757

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 93.55 ₴ +1.24 (+1.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

14.11 ₴

at 14.11

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 21.43 ₴ +7.32 ₴ per item · on the market 622 · buy 0.0000–0.0205
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 31.25 ₴ +17.15 ₴ per item · on the market 319 · buy 0.0200–0.0414
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 32.40 ₴ +18.29 ₴ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.0000–0.0246

Steam

×9

Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

75.13 ₴

at 8.35

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Winterized (Minimal Wear) — 8.55 ₴ +0.20 ₴ per item · on the market 799 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) — 8.78 ₴ +0.43 ₴ per item · on the market 1 086 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Minimal Wear) — 8.86 ₴ +0.51 ₴ per item · on the market 961 · buy 0.0700–0.0747

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 89.24 ₴ +2.74 (+3.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

in profit

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

160.65 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

52.65 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

70.41 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

155.64 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

73.38 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

134.31 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

100.05 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

211.32 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

96.20 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

132.24 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −16.33 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −3.96 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build