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The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +4.78$

Invest 5.56$

Average return 10.33$

ROI +86.0%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 12.94 $, profit at most −2.61 $

float premium: at least 6 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +12.47 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×7

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

2.17 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 0.47 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 622 · buy 0.0000–0.0190
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 319 · buy 0.0200–0.0398
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.0000–0.0228

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

1.86 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1089
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 1.52 $ +0.59 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1286
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +2.02 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0592

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1.52 $

at 1.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 2.50 $ +0.98 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0809
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +1.44 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0121
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 3.13 $ +1.61 $ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0223

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.56 $ +4.78 (+86.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

1.24 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 0.47 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 622 · buy 0.0000–0.0255
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 319 · buy 0.0200–0.0465
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.0000–0.0306

Steam

×2

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

2.43 $

at 1.21

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 1.52 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1083
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 2.50 $ +1.28 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1316
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +1.74 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0416

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

6.08 $

at 1.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 2.50 $ +0.98 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0847
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +1.44 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0143
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 3.13 $ +1.61 $ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0264

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.75 $ +8.34 (+85.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

0.29 $

at 0.29

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 0.30 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 976 · buy 0.1500–0.1657
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 0.30 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 364 · buy 0.1500–0.1587
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 0.31 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 661 · buy 0.1500–0.3006

Steam

×8

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

2.48 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 0.47 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 622 · buy 0.0000–0.0245
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 319 · buy 0.0200–0.0455
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.0000–0.0294

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

0.93 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1156
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 1.52 $ +0.59 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1329
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +2.02 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0628

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.70 $ +1.46 (+39.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

0.93 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 0.47 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 622 · buy 0.0000–0.0236
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 319 · buy 0.0200–0.0446
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.0000–0.0283

Steam

×2

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

2.43 $

at 1.21

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 1.52 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1078
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 2.50 $ +1.28 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1310
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +1.74 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0412

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

7.60 $

at 1.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 2.50 $ +0.98 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0836
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +1.44 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0137
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 3.13 $ +1.61 $ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0253

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.96 $ +9.72 (+88.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

0.62 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 0.47 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 622 · buy 0.0000–0.0218
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 319 · buy 0.0200–0.0426
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.0000–0.0261

Steam

×2

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

2.43 $

at 1.21

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 1.52 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1074
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 2.50 $ +1.28 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1303
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +1.74 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0408

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

9.12 $

at 1.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 2.50 $ +0.98 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0825
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +1.44 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0131
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 3.13 $ +1.61 $ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0241

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.17 $ +11.09 (+91.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 78%

at a loss

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

2.96 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2.20 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

4.65 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

2.12 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2.91 $ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

9.33 $ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

85.09 $ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

31.03 $ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.32 $ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.63 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.82 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3339898 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.80$ · invest 6.37$
rare inputs

P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162630 instead of 0.161830; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074393 instead of 0.074115
Craft 3354066 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.57$ · invest 8.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162503 instead of 0.161830; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074115
Craft 3339899 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.56$ · invest 6.83$
rare inputs

P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163384 instead of 0.161830; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074655 instead of 0.074115
Craft 3354458 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.49$ · invest 6.66$
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162893 instead of 0.161830; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074484 instead of 0.074115
Craft 3357339 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.45$ · invest 7.94$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear), Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163756 instead of 0.161830; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074784 instead of 0.074115
Craft 3354825 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.30$ · invest 8.16$
rare inputs

P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163576 instead of 0.161830; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074722 instead of 0.074115
Craft 3337025 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.11$ · invest 5.86$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161719 instead of 0.161830; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074076 instead of 0.074115

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build