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The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −2.75$

Invest at least 12.92$

Average return 10.17$

ROI −21.3%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 12.92 $, profit at most −2.75 $

float premium: at least 6 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +11.97 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×7

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

2.17 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 0.47 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 622 · buy 0.0000–0.0220
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 319 · buy 0.0200–0.0429
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.0000–0.0264

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

0.93 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1125
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 1.52 $ +0.59 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1309
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +2.02 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0611

Steam

×2

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

2.43 $

at 1.21

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 1.52 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1074
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 2.50 $ +1.28 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1303
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +1.74 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0409

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.53 $ +4.63 (+83.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1699

0.31 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 0.47 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 622 · buy 0.0000–0.0260
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 319 · buy 0.0200–0.0471
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.0000–0.0313

Steam

×2

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

2.43 $

at 1.21

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 1.52 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1084
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 2.50 $ +1.28 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1319
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +1.74 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0418

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

10.64 $

at 1.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 2.50 $ +0.98 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0850
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +1.44 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0145
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 3.13 $ +1.61 $ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0268

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.37 $ +11.97 (+89.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×8

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

2.48 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 0.47 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 622 · buy 0.0000–0.0253
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 319 · buy 0.0200–0.0463
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.0000–0.0304

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

1.86 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1166
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 1.52 $ +0.59 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1335
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +2.02 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0634

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.35 $ +3.29 (+75.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×6

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

1.86 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 0.47 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 622 · buy 0.0000–0.0224
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 319 · buy 0.0200–0.0433
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.0000–0.0269

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

1.86 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1130
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 1.52 $ +0.59 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1312
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +2.02 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0614

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

3.04 $

at 1.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 2.50 $ +0.98 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0829
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +1.44 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0133
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 3.13 $ +1.61 $ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0245

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.76 $ +5.93 (+87.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×5

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

1.55 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 0.47 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 622 · buy 0.0000–0.0209
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 319 · buy 0.0200–0.0418
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.0000–0.0251

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

1.86 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1113
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 1.52 $ +0.59 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1301
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +2.02 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0604

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

4.56 $

at 1.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 2.50 $ +0.98 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0820
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +1.44 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0128
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 3.13 $ +1.61 $ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0236

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.97 $ +7.25 (+91.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 78%

at a loss

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.050555

2.96 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

2.20 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.65 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.031111

2.12 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

2.91 $ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.037888

9.33 $ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.062222

85.09 $ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.052888

31.03 $ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

2.76 $ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.51 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.68 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3345818 · The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4.94$ · invest 5.06$
rare inputs

P250 | Cassette (Factory New), SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165033 instead of 0.165256; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075228 instead of 0.075306
Craft 3348103 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4.91$ · invest 6.59$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163365 instead of 0.165256; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074648 instead of 0.075306
Craft 3337026 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4.50$ · invest 5.56$
rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164750 instead of 0.165256; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075130 instead of 0.075306

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build