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The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.12$

Invest 2.07$

Average return 2.19$

ROI +5.7%

Chance of profit 36%

With float: invest 2.31 $, profit −0.12 $

float premium: 0 $ (6.0%)

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.50 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈50

×5

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.4336

0.97 $

at 0.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Well-Worn) — 0.19 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.3800–0.4336
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.3800–0.4336
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.3800–0.4336

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3263

1.01 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.3263
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.1500–0.3263
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.3263

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3263

0.09 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Field-Tested) — 0.08 $ cheaper by 0.00 $ · on the market 778 · buy 0.1500–0.2284
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 877 · buy 0.1500–0.3263
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 275 · buy 0.1500–0.1860

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.07 $ +0.12 (+5.7%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈68

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.4419

0.58 $

at 0.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Well-Worn) — 0.19 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.3800–0.4419
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.3800–0.4419
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.3800–0.4419

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3534

1.27 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.3534
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.1500–0.3534
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.3534

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3534

0.17 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Field-Tested) — 0.08 $ cheaper by 0.00 $ · on the market 778 · buy 0.1500–0.2474
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 877 · buy 0.1500–0.3534
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 275 · buy 0.1500–0.2014

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.02 $ +0.00 (+0.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.6249

0.30 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.6249
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.6249
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.6249

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2231

0.68 $

at 0.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 822 · buy 0.1500–0.3187
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 877 · buy 0.1500–0.3187
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 275 · buy 0.1500–0.1817

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.98 $ +0.05 (+4.9%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5822

0.45 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.5822
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.5822
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.5822

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2053

0.59 $

at 0.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 822 · buy 0.1500–0.2933
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 877 · buy 0.1500–0.2933
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 275 · buy 0.1500–0.1671

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.04 $ +0.15 (+14.3%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5441

0.60 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.5441
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.5441
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.5441

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1893

0.51 $

at 0.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 822 · buy 0.1500–0.2705
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 877 · buy 0.1500–0.2705
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 275 · buy 0.1500–0.1542

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.11 $ +0.25 (+22.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

2.81 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.96 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

4.92 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.89 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.97 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Field-Tested

float up to 0.254599

0.56 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

0.67 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Field-Tested

float up to 0.265999

1.35 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288799

0.83 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Field-Tested

float up to 0.189999

0.56 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 only The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.15 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.09 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build