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The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −713.17₸

Invest at least 1 232.09₸

Average return 518.92₸

ROI −57.9%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 1 232.09 ₸, profit at most −713.17 ₸

float premium: at least 647 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +43.02 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4792

271.75 ₸

at 67.94

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 74.29 ₸ +6.36 ₸ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.4792
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 74.29 ₸ +6.36 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.4792
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 84.98 ₸ +17.04 ₸ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.4792

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3837

195.15 ₸

at 39.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Well-Worn) — 39.37 ₸ +0.34 ₸ per item · on the market 416 · buy 0.3800–0.3837
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Well-Worn) — 44.65 ₸ +5.62 ₸ per item · on the market 530 · buy 0.3800–0.3837
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) — 49.49 ₸ +10.46 ₸ per item · on the market 765 · buy 0.1500–0.3453

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

49.72 ₸

at 49.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 54.78 ₸ +5.06 ₸ per item · on the market 363 · buy 0.1500–0.1622
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 59.61 ₸ +9.90 ₸ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.1500–0.1622
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 90.55 ₸ +40.83 ₸ per item · on the market 781 · buy 0.0700–0.1459

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 516.61 ₸ +2.31 (+0.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 7 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4959

475.56 ₸

at 67.94

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 74.29 ₸ +6.36 ₸ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.4959
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 74.29 ₸ +6.36 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.4959
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 84.98 ₸ +17.04 ₸ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.4959

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1691

229.12 ₸

at 114.56

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 116.58 ₸ +2.02 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1691
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 116.64 ₸ +2.08 ₸ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.1500–0.1691
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 129.35 ₸ +14.79 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1691

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1691

49.49 ₸

at 49.49

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 49.72 ₸ +0.22 ₸ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.1500–0.1879
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 54.78 ₸ +5.29 ₸ per item · on the market 363 · buy 0.1500–0.1879
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 59.61 ₸ +10.12 ₸ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.1500–0.1879

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 754.17 ₸ +11.64 (+1.6%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 5 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4934

339.69 ₸

at 67.94

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 74.29 ₸ +6.36 ₸ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.4934
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 74.29 ₸ +6.36 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.4934
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 84.98 ₸ +17.04 ₸ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.4934

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3855

117.09 ₸

at 39.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Well-Worn) — 39.37 ₸ +0.34 ₸ per item · on the market 416 · buy 0.3800–0.3855
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Well-Worn) — 44.65 ₸ +5.62 ₸ per item · on the market 530 · buy 0.3800–0.3855
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) — 49.49 ₸ +10.46 ₸ per item · on the market 765 · buy 0.1500–0.3469

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

98.98 ₸

at 49.49

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 49.72 ₸ +0.22 ₸ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.1500–0.1868
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 54.78 ₸ +5.29 ₸ per item · on the market 363 · buy 0.1500–0.1868
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 59.61 ₸ +10.12 ₸ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.1500–0.1868

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 555.76 ₸ +12.54 (+2.3%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 7 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4914

475.56 ₸

at 67.94

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 74.29 ₸ +6.36 ₸ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.4914
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 74.29 ₸ +6.36 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.4914
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 84.98 ₸ +17.04 ₸ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.4914

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

148.47 ₸

at 49.49

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 49.72 ₸ +0.22 ₸ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.1500–0.1859
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 54.78 ₸ +5.29 ₸ per item · on the market 363 · buy 0.1500–0.1859
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 59.61 ₸ +10.12 ₸ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.1500–0.1859

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 624.03 ₸ +43.02 (+6.9%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 6 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4784

407.62 ₸

at 67.94

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 74.29 ₸ +6.36 ₸ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.4784
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 74.29 ₸ +6.36 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.4784
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 84.98 ₸ +17.04 ₸ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.4784

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3836

176.25 ₸

at 88.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Well-Worn) — 88.18 ₸ +0.06 ₸ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.3800–0.3836
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn) — 89.14 ₸ +1.01 ₸ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.3800–0.3836
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 89.20 ₸ +1.07 ₸ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.3800–0.3836

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

98.98 ₸

at 49.49

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 49.72 ₸ +0.22 ₸ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.1500–0.1798
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 54.78 ₸ +5.29 ₸ per item · on the market 363 · buy 0.1500–0.1798
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 59.61 ₸ +10.12 ₸ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.1500–0.1798

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 682.86 ₸ +33.57 (+4.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 8%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Field-Tested

float up to 0.227868

389.85 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Field-Tested

float up to 0.319413

371.01 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Well-Worn

float up to 0.399768

298.86 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

386.65 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Field-Tested

float up to 0.279838

401.66 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Well-Worn

float up to 0.399768

985.26 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Well-Worn

float up to 0.399768

777.23 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Well-Worn

float up to 0.399768

1 576.89 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Well-Worn

float up to 0.399768

608.68 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Well-Worn

float up to 0.399768

739.43 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −60.63 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −2.87 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build