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The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1.22$

Invest at least 2.40$

Average return 1.17$

ROI −51.0%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 2.40 $, profit at most −1.22 $

float premium: at least 1 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4817

0.30 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.4817
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.4817
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.4817

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

0.43 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 575 · buy 0.1500–0.1883
StatTrak™ MP9 | Featherweight (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 870 · buy 0.1500–0.2093
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Insomnia (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 986 · buy 0.1500–0.2093

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MP9 | Featherweight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

0.30 $

at 0.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Insomnia (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 986 · buy 0.1500–0.1632
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 545 · buy 0.1500–0.1632
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 812 · buy 0.1500–0.1632

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.03 $ +0.15 (+14.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5065

0.30 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.5065
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.5065
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.5065

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1736

1.52 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1736
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.1500–0.1736
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1736

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1736

0.17 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 575 · buy 0.1500–0.2003
StatTrak™ MP9 | Featherweight (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 870 · buy 0.1500–0.2226
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Insomnia (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 986 · buy 0.1500–0.2226

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.99 $ +0.07 (+3.6%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5048

0.15 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.5048
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.5048
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.5048

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

0.78 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 575 · buy 0.1500–0.1995
StatTrak™ MP9 | Featherweight (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 870 · buy 0.1500–0.2216
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Insomnia (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 986 · buy 0.1500–0.2216

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.93 $ +0.10 (+10.9%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4979

0.30 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.4979
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.4979
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.4979

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1700

1.27 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1700
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.1500–0.1700
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1700

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1700

0.26 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 575 · buy 0.1500–0.1961
StatTrak™ MP9 | Featherweight (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 870 · buy 0.1500–0.2179
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Insomnia (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 986 · buy 0.1500–0.2179

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.82 $ +0.09 (+4.9%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4896

0.30 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.4896
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.4896
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.4896

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

1.01 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1665
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.1500–0.1665
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1665

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

0.34 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 575 · buy 0.1500–0.1922
StatTrak™ MP9 | Featherweight (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 870 · buy 0.1500–0.2135
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Insomnia (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 986 · buy 0.1500–0.2135

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.66 $ +0.11 (+6.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

0.68 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

1.04 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku

Field-Tested

float up to 0.354999

1.79 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

0.97 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

0.58 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

2.81 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

1.96 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

4.92 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

1.89 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

1.97 $ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 only The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.00 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.11 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build