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The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.37$

Invest 2.16$

Average return 2.53$

ROI +17.3%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 5.05 $, profit at most −2.52 $

float premium: at least 3 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 6 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4865

0.90 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.4865
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.4865
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.4865

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

0.76 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1652
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.1500–0.1652
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1652

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

0.50 $

at 0.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Jambiya (Well-Worn) — 0.62 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.3800–0.3846
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Well-Worn) — 0.64 $ +0.14 $ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.3800–0.3846
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cartel (Well-Worn) — 0.70 $ +0.20 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.3800–0.3846

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.16 $ +0.37 (+17.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5227

0.60 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.5227
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.5227
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.5227

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1804

0.76 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1804
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.1500–0.1804
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1804

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3892

1.50 $

at 0.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Jambiya (Well-Worn) — 0.62 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.3800–0.3892
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Well-Worn) — 0.64 $ +0.14 $ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.3800–0.3892
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cartel (Well-Worn) — 0.70 $ +0.20 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.3800–0.3892

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.86 $ +0.02 (+0.8%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 5 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5022

0.75 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.5022
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.5022
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.5022

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1718

0.76 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1718
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.1500–0.1718
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1718

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3866

1.00 $

at 0.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Jambiya (Well-Worn) — 0.62 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.3800–0.3866
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Well-Worn) — 0.64 $ +0.14 $ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.3800–0.3866
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cartel (Well-Worn) — 0.70 $ +0.20 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.3800–0.3866

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.51 $ +0.20 (+7.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

2.81 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.96 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

4.92 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.89 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.97 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence

Field-Tested

float up to 0.303999

6.32 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Field-Tested

float up to 0.231799

3.23 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

6.49 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Field-Tested

float up to 0.170999

3.50 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire

Field-Tested

float up to 0.151999

4.04 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 only The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.04 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.33 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3341740 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 0.40$ · invest 2.15$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.483132 instead of 0.486576; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163855 instead of 0.165295
Craft 3341460 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 0.39$ · invest 1.86$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn)
Craft 3341336 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 0.38$ · invest 2.03$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn)
Craft 3334563 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 0.38$ · invest 1.85$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn)
Craft 3341489 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 0.36$ · invest 1.99$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Exo (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.487078 instead of 0.486576; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165505 instead of 0.165295

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build