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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Genesis Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1.48$

Invest at least 2.66$

Average return 1.18$

ROI −55.5%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest at least 2.66 $, profit at most −1.48 $

float premium: at least 1 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.12 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

0.51 $

at 0.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 822 · buy 0.1500–0.2325
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 877 · buy 0.1500–0.2325
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 017 · buy 0.1500–0.2325

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

0.09 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 877 · buy 0.1500–0.1627
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 017 · buy 0.1500–0.1627
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 791 · buy 0.1500–0.1627

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4806

0.53 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Battle-Scarred) — 0.18 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.4500–0.4806
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred) — 0.18 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.4500–0.4806
StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.4500–0.4806

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.12 $ +0.06 (+5.2%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

0.35 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 877 · buy 0.1500–0.1705
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 017 · buy 0.1500–0.1705
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 432 · buy 0.1500–0.1535

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3862

1.18 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.3800–0.3862
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Well-Worn) — 0.21 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 225 · buy 0.3800–0.3862
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Well-Worn) — 0.21 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.3800–0.3862

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.53 $ +0.12 (+8.0%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

0.26 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 877 · buy 0.1500–0.1705
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 017 · buy 0.1500–0.1705
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 432 · buy 0.1500–0.1535

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3862

1.18 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.3800–0.3862
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Well-Worn) — 0.21 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 225 · buy 0.3800–0.3862
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Well-Worn) — 0.21 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.3800–0.3862

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

0.25 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.1500–0.1705
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) — 0.27 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.1500–0.1705
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested) — 0.28 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.1500–0.1705

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.69 $ +0.12 (+7.2%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

0.17 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 877 · buy 0.1500–0.1705
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 017 · buy 0.1500–0.1705
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 432 · buy 0.1500–0.1535

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3862

1.18 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.3800–0.3862
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Well-Worn) — 0.21 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 225 · buy 0.3800–0.3862
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Well-Worn) — 0.21 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.3800–0.3862

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

0.49 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.1500–0.1705
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) — 0.27 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.1500–0.1705
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested) — 0.28 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.1500–0.1705

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.85 $ +0.12 (+6.5%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

0.09 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 877 · buy 0.1500–0.1705
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 017 · buy 0.1500–0.1705
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 432 · buy 0.1500–0.1535

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3862

1.18 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.3800–0.3862
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Well-Worn) — 0.21 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 225 · buy 0.3800–0.3862
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Well-Worn) — 0.21 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.3800–0.3862

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

0.74 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.1500–0.1705
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) — 0.27 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.1500–0.1705
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested) — 0.28 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.1500–0.1705

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.01 $ +0.12 (+5.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 56%
About break-even 14%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Field-Tested

float up to 0.200999

0.56 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Field-Tested

float up to 0.299999

0.67 $ 14.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Field-Tested

float up to 0.209999

1.35 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Field-Tested

float up to 0.227999

0.83 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

0.67 $ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Field-Tested

float up to 0.299999

1.66 $ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation

Field-Tested

float up to 0.299999

6.61 $ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Field-Tested

float up to 0.299999

1.65 $ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular

Field-Tested

float up to 0.299999

1.69 $ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.299999

1.53 $ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.10 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.02 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build