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The Dust 2 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −26.96$

Invest at least 48.14$

Average return 21.17$

ROI −56.0%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 48.14 $, profit at most −26.96 $

float premium: at least 28 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

P2000 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

2.02 $

at 2.02

Steam

×4

SG 553 | Tiger Moth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

5.26 $

at 1.32

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested) — 1.40 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.1500–0.1645
Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Field-Tested) — 1.44 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.1500–0.1645
Negev | Power Loader (Field-Tested) — 1.89 $ +0.57 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.1500–0.1645

Steam

×5

SG 553 | Tiger Moth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

12.68 $

at 2.54

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Minimal Wear) — 2.56 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Minimal Wear) — 3.21 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
Negev | Power Loader (Minimal Wear) — 4.11 $ +1.57 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0700–0.0750

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.97 $ +1.21 (+6.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Point Disarray

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

58.81 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214179

10.07 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Shapewood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104477

11.16 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

R8 Revolver | Amber Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.041791

3.39 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dust 2 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2.02 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.35 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dust 2 Collection and The Revolver Case Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3356195 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1.15$ · invest 22.04$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New); SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163087 instead of 0.164580; SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074552 instead of 0.075071

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dust 2 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build