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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1 008.82₸

Invest at least 1 812.54₸

Average return 803.77₸

ROI −55.7%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 1 812.54 ₸, profit at most −1 008.82 ₸

float premium: at least 955 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +125.58 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

208.31 ₸

at 208.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +11.70 ₸ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1642
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 347.00 ₸ +138.69 ₸ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1150
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 1 020.24 ₸ +811.93 ₸ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1642

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

298.29 ₸

at 49.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 54.78 ₸ +5.06 ₸ per item · on the market 363 · buy 0.1500–0.1642
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 59.61 ₸ +9.90 ₸ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.1500–0.1642
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 90.55 ₸ +40.83 ₸ per item · on the market 781 · buy 0.0700–0.1478

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

271.64 ₸

at 90.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 93.64 ₸ +3.09 ₸ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0833
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 99.21 ₸ +8.66 ₸ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0833
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 219.61 ₸ +129.07 ₸ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0833

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 778.24 ₸ +25.53 (+3.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

1 458.17 ₸

at 208.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +11.70 ₸ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1653
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 347.00 ₸ +138.69 ₸ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1157
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 1 020.24 ₸ +811.93 ₸ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1653

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

341.54 ₸

at 341.54

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 471.51 ₸ +129.97 ₸ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 657.32 ₸ +315.78 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0000–0.0527
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 2 040.02 ₸ +1 698.48 ₸ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0346

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

181.09 ₸

at 90.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 93.64 ₸ +3.09 ₸ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0837
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 99.21 ₸ +8.66 ₸ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0837
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 219.61 ₸ +129.07 ₸ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0837

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 980.80 ₸ +49.88 (+2.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

1 041.55 ₸

at 208.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +11.70 ₸ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1642
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 347.00 ₸ +138.69 ₸ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1150
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 1 020.24 ₸ +811.93 ₸ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1642

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

99.43 ₸

at 49.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 54.78 ₸ +5.06 ₸ per item · on the market 363 · buy 0.1500–0.1642
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 59.61 ₸ +9.90 ₸ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.1500–0.1642
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 90.55 ₸ +40.83 ₸ per item · on the market 781 · buy 0.0700–0.1478

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

271.64 ₸

at 90.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 93.64 ₸ +3.09 ₸ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0833
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 99.21 ₸ +8.66 ₸ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0833
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 219.61 ₸ +129.07 ₸ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0833

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 412.62 ₸ +92.23 (+6.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

833.24 ₸

at 208.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +11.70 ₸ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1642
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 347.00 ₸ +138.69 ₸ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1150
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 1 020.24 ₸ +811.93 ₸ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1642

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

149.15 ₸

at 49.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 54.78 ₸ +5.06 ₸ per item · on the market 363 · buy 0.1500–0.1642
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 59.61 ₸ +9.90 ₸ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.1500–0.1642
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 90.55 ₸ +40.83 ₸ per item · on the market 781 · buy 0.0700–0.1478

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

271.64 ₸

at 90.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 93.64 ₸ +3.09 ₸ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0833
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 99.21 ₸ +8.66 ₸ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0833
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 219.61 ₸ +129.07 ₸ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0833

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 254.02 ₸ +75.53 (+6.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

624.93 ₸

at 208.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +11.70 ₸ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1642
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 347.00 ₸ +138.69 ₸ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1150
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 1 020.24 ₸ +811.93 ₸ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1642

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

198.86 ₸

at 49.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 54.78 ₸ +5.06 ₸ per item · on the market 363 · buy 0.1500–0.1642
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 59.61 ₸ +9.90 ₸ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.1500–0.1642
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 90.55 ₸ +40.83 ₸ per item · on the market 781 · buy 0.0700–0.1478

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

271.64 ₸

at 90.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 93.64 ₸ +3.09 ₸ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0833
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 99.21 ₸ +8.66 ₸ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0833
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 219.61 ₸ +129.07 ₸ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0833

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 095.43 ₸ +58.88 (+5.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 72%
About break-even 18%

about break-even

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079799

927.67 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111859

779.20 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

836.45 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133076

390.41 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

680.05 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

1 755.62 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

1 748.37 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072799

5 981.22 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 166.10 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.211399

1 040.76 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −86.78 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −2.70 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build