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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +7.72₽

Invest 131.12₽

Average return 138.84₽

ROI +5.9%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 308.96 ₽, profit at most −170.12 ₽

float premium: at least 162 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

37.04 ₽

at 37.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 39.12 ₽ +2.08 ₽ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1664
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 61.70 ₽ +24.66 ₽ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1165
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 181.41 ₽ +144.37 ₽ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1664

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

61.88 ₽

at 8.84

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 9.74 ₽ +0.90 ₽ per item · on the market 363 · buy 0.1500–0.1664
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 10.60 ₽ +1.76 ₽ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.1500–0.1664
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 16.10 ₽ +7.26 ₽ per item · on the market 781 · buy 0.0700–0.1498

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

32.20 ₽

at 16.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 16.65 ₽ +0.55 ₽ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0841
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 17.64 ₽ +1.54 ₽ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0841
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 39.05 ₽ +22.95 ₽ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0841

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 131.12 ₽ +7.72 (+5.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

74.08 ₽

at 37.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 39.12 ₽ +2.08 ₽ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1664
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 61.70 ₽ +24.66 ₽ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1165
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 181.41 ₽ +144.37 ₽ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1664

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

53.04 ₽

at 8.84

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 9.74 ₽ +0.90 ₽ per item · on the market 363 · buy 0.1500–0.1664
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 10.60 ₽ +1.76 ₽ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.1500–0.1664
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 16.10 ₽ +7.26 ₽ per item · on the market 781 · buy 0.0700–0.1498

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

32.20 ₽

at 16.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 16.65 ₽ +0.55 ₽ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0841
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 17.64 ₽ +1.54 ₽ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0841
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 39.05 ₽ +22.95 ₽ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0841

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 159.32 ₽ +6.61 (+4.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

111.12 ₽

at 37.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 39.12 ₽ +2.08 ₽ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1664
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 61.70 ₽ +24.66 ₽ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1165
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 181.41 ₽ +144.37 ₽ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1664

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

44.20 ₽

at 8.84

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 9.74 ₽ +0.90 ₽ per item · on the market 363 · buy 0.1500–0.1664
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 10.60 ₽ +1.76 ₽ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.1500–0.1664
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 16.10 ₽ +7.26 ₽ per item · on the market 781 · buy 0.0700–0.1498

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

32.20 ₽

at 16.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 16.65 ₽ +0.55 ₽ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0841
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 17.64 ₽ +1.54 ₽ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0841
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 39.05 ₽ +22.95 ₽ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0841

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 187.52 ₽ +5.50 (+2.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

148.16 ₽

at 37.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 39.12 ₽ +2.08 ₽ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1664
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 61.70 ₽ +24.66 ₽ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1165
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 181.41 ₽ +144.37 ₽ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1664

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

35.36 ₽

at 8.84

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 9.74 ₽ +0.90 ₽ per item · on the market 363 · buy 0.1500–0.1664
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 10.60 ₽ +1.76 ₽ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.1500–0.1664
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 16.10 ₽ +7.26 ₽ per item · on the market 781 · buy 0.0700–0.1498

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

32.20 ₽

at 16.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 16.65 ₽ +0.55 ₽ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0841
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 17.64 ₽ +1.54 ₽ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0841
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 39.05 ₽ +22.95 ₽ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0841

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 215.72 ₽ +4.38 (+2.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

185.20 ₽

at 37.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 39.12 ₽ +2.08 ₽ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1664
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 61.70 ₽ +24.66 ₽ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1165
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 181.41 ₽ +144.37 ₽ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1664

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

26.52 ₽

at 8.84

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 9.74 ₽ +0.90 ₽ per item · on the market 363 · buy 0.1500–0.1664
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 10.60 ₽ +1.76 ₽ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.1500–0.1664
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 16.10 ₽ +7.26 ₽ per item · on the market 781 · buy 0.0700–0.1498

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

32.20 ₽

at 16.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 16.65 ₽ +0.55 ₽ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0841
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 17.64 ₽ +1.54 ₽ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0841
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 39.05 ₽ +22.95 ₽ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0841

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 243.92 ₽ +3.27 (+1.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 18%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085499

164.95 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119849

138.55 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

148.73 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.142582

69.42 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

120.92 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

312.17 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

310.88 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077999

1 063.53 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

328.49 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216499

185.06 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −11.38 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.36 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3344367 · The Fever Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 7.57₽ · invest 112.43₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build