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The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −80.99$

Invest at least 244.85$

Average return 163.86$

ROI −33.1%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 244.85 $, profit at most −80.99 $

float premium: at least 138 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +63.82 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

4.83 $

at 4.83

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 5.59 $ +0.76 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.1500–0.1625
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.21 $ +22.38 $ per item · on the market 129 · buy 0.0000–0.0520

Steam

×7

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

65.71 $

at 9.39

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 9.91 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.21 $ +17.82 $ per item · on the market 129 · buy 0.0000–0.0237

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

30.26 $

at 15.13

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) — 24.84 $ +9.71 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) — 74.75 $ +59.62 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 100.79 $ +63.07 (+62.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1754

4.83 $

at 4.83

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 5.59 $ +0.76 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.1500–0.1754
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.21 $ +22.38 $ per item · on the market 129 · buy 0.0000–0.0561

Steam

×6

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

56.32 $

at 9.39

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 9.91 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.0788
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.21 $ +17.82 $ per item · on the market 129 · buy 0.0000–0.0252

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

45.39 $

at 15.13

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) — 24.84 $ +9.71 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0108
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) — 74.75 $ +59.62 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0171

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 106.54 $ +57.76 (+54.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1748

9.66 $

at 4.83

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 5.59 $ +0.76 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.1500–0.1748
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.21 $ +22.38 $ per item · on the market 129 · buy 0.0000–0.0559

Steam

×2

P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

26.47 $

at 13.23

if this one runs out, you can take

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 15.13 $ +1.89 $ per item · on the market 78 · buy 0.0000–0.0561
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) — 22.14 $ +8.90 $ per item · on the market 217 · buy 0.0700–0.1248

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

90.78 $

at 15.13

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) — 24.84 $ +9.71 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0105
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) — 74.75 $ +59.62 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0167

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 126.90 $ +39.55 (+31.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

9.66 $

at 4.83

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 5.59 $ +0.76 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.1500–0.1696
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.21 $ +22.38 $ per item · on the market 129 · buy 0.0000–0.0542

Steam

×4

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

37.55 $

at 9.39

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 9.91 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.21 $ +17.82 $ per item · on the market 129 · buy 0.0000–0.0245

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

60.52 $

at 15.13

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) — 24.84 $ +9.71 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) — 74.75 $ +59.62 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0133

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 107.72 $ +57.01 (+52.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −22 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

84.48 $

at 9.39

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 9.91 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.21 $ +17.82 $ per item · on the market 129 · buy 0.0000–0.0244

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

15.13 $

at 15.13

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) — 24.84 $ +9.71 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) — 74.75 $ +59.62 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 99.61 $ +63.82 (+64.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

220.40 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

154.50 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.037799

140.41 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Mecha Industries

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

244.43 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +38.69 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +57.16 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Gamma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3340342 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 48.58$ · invest 91.81$
profit on prices without salesat least −28 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162896 instead of 0.162532; CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074485 instead of 0.074359

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build