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The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −82 567.58₸

Invest at least 188 215.76₸

Average return 105 648.23₸

ROI −43.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 188 215.76 ₸, profit at most −82 567.58 ₸

float premium: at least 97 761 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +34 508.19 ₸ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −35 978 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

4 786.58 ₸

at 4 786.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 5 855.13 ₸ +1 068.55 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.1500–0.1625
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.10 ₸ +7 637.52 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0520

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

49 544.38 ₸

at 7 077.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 10 838.26 ₸ +3 760.50 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.10 ₸ +5 346.33 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0237

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

23 320.63 ₸

at 11 660.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) — 12 949.94 ₸ +1 289.62 ₸ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) — 68 440.10 ₸ +56 779.79 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 77 651.59 ₸ +27 996.64 (+36.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −58 069 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

35 388.85 ₸

at 7 077.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 10 838.26 ₸ +3 760.50 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0791
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.10 ₸ +5 346.33 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0253

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

13 744.88 ₸

at 6 872.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 11 660.31 ₸ +4 787.87 ₸ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0565
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) — 22 959.68 ₸ +16 087.24 ₸ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1255

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

34 980.94 ₸

at 11 660.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) — 12 949.94 ₸ +1 289.62 ₸ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0111
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) — 68 440.10 ₸ +56 779.79 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0177

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 84 114.67 ₸ +8 872.87 (+10.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −43 273 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

49 544.38 ₸

at 7 077.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 10 838.26 ₸ +3 760.50 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0779
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.10 ₸ +5 346.33 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0249

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

6 872.44 ₸

at 6 872.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 11 660.31 ₸ +4 787.87 ₸ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0556
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) — 22 959.68 ₸ +16 087.24 ₸ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1236

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

23 320.63 ₸

at 11 660.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) — 12 949.94 ₸ +1 289.62 ₸ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0097
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) — 68 440.10 ₸ +56 779.79 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0154

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 79 737.45 ₸ +21 690.53 (+27.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −28 477 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

63 699.92 ₸

at 7 077.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 10 838.26 ₸ +3 760.50 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.10 ₸ +5 346.33 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0244

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

11 660.31 ₸

at 11 660.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) — 12 949.94 ₸ +1 289.62 ₸ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) — 68 440.10 ₸ +56 779.79 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75 360.24 ₸ +34 508.19 (+45.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −63 072 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

28 311.08 ₸

at 7 077.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 10 838.26 ₸ +3 760.50 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.10 ₸ +5 346.33 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0243

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

20 617.32 ₸

at 6 872.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 11 660.31 ₸ +4 787.87 ₸ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0542
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) — 22 959.68 ₸ +16 087.24 ₸ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1205

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

34 980.94 ₸

at 11 660.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) — 12 949.94 ₸ +1 289.62 ₸ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) — 68 440.10 ₸ +56 779.79 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0115

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 83 909.34 ₸ +4 858.00 (+5.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

142 591.87 ₸ 40.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

119 812.10 ₸ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.037799

58 931.45 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

106 407.30 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Gamma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9 686.26 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +22 615.44 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Gamma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build