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The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −136.50₴

Invest at least 239.38₴

Average return 102.88₴

ROI −57.0%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest at least 239.38 ₴, profit at most −136.50 ₴

float premium: at least 135 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +29.58 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

20.91 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 22.08 ₴ +1.17 ₴ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1662
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 34.83 ₴ +13.92 ₴ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1164
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 102.40 ₴ +81.49 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1662

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

4.04 ₴

at 4.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested) — 4.30 ₴ +0.26 ₴ per item · on the market 1 353 · buy 0.1500–0.1658
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested) — 4.56 ₴ +0.51 ₴ per item · on the market 949 · buy 0.1500–0.1867
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 5.44 ₴ +1.39 ₴ per item · on the market 1 238 · buy 0.1500–0.2075

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

71.62 ₴

at 8.95

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear) — 9.48 ₴ +0.52 ₴ per item · on the market 264 · buy 0.0700–0.0758
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 9.96 ₴ +1.00 ₴ per item · on the market 400 · buy 0.0700–0.0946
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear) — 10.97 ₴ +2.02 ₴ per item · on the market 202 · buy 0.0700–0.0851

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 96.57 ₴ +6.31 (+6.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

104.54 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 22.08 ₴ +1.17 ₴ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 34.83 ₴ +13.92 ₴ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1153
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 102.40 ₴ +81.49 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1648

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

39.83 ₴

at 9.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear) — 15.85 ₴ +5.89 ₴ per item · on the market 584 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) — 20.69 ₴ +10.74 ₴ per item · on the market 277 · buy 0.0000–0.0524
StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) — 22.47 ₴ +12.51 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0000–0.0524

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

20.69 ₴

at 20.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) — 22.47 ₴ +1.78 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Factory New) — 28.08 ₴ +7.39 ₴ per item · on the market 288 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Factory New) — 29.15 ₴ +8.46 ₴ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0051

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 165.06 ₴ +28.57 (+17.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

104.54 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 22.08 ₴ +1.17 ₴ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 34.83 ₴ +13.92 ₴ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1153
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 102.40 ₴ +81.49 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1648

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

137.12 ₴

at 34.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 47.32 ₴ +13.04 ₴ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 65.97 ₴ +31.69 ₴ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0000–0.0526
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 204.75 ₴ +170.47 ₴ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0345

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

20.69 ₴

at 20.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) — 22.47 ₴ +1.78 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Factory New) — 28.08 ₴ +7.39 ₴ per item · on the market 288 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Factory New) — 29.15 ₴ +8.46 ₴ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0051

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 262.34 ₴ +22.03 (+8.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

62.72 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 22.08 ₴ +1.17 ₴ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1643
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 34.83 ₴ +13.92 ₴ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1150
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 102.40 ₴ +81.49 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1643

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

53.71 ₴

at 8.95

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear) — 9.48 ₴ +0.52 ₴ per item · on the market 264 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 9.96 ₴ +1.00 ₴ per item · on the market 400 · buy 0.0700–0.0938
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear) — 10.97 ₴ +2.02 ₴ per item · on the market 202 · buy 0.0700–0.0844

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

9.96 ₴

at 9.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear) — 15.85 ₴ +5.89 ₴ per item · on the market 584 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) — 20.69 ₴ +10.74 ₴ per item · on the market 277 · buy 0.0000–0.0523
StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) — 22.47 ₴ +12.51 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0000–0.0523

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 126.39 ₴ +21.86 (+17.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

41.81 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 22.08 ₴ +1.17 ₴ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1623
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 34.83 ₴ +13.92 ₴ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1136
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 102.40 ₴ +81.49 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1623

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

9.11 ₴

at 4.56

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 5.44 ₴ +0.88 ₴ per item · on the market 1 238 · buy 0.1500–0.1803
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested) — 5.71 ₴ +1.15 ₴ per item · on the market 1 134 · buy 0.1500–0.1803
StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) — 8.95 ₴ +4.40 ₴ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1259

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

59.74 ₴

at 9.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear) — 15.85 ₴ +5.89 ₴ per item · on the market 584 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) — 20.69 ₴ +10.74 ₴ per item · on the market 277 · buy 0.0000–0.0518
StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) — 22.47 ₴ +12.51 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0000–0.0518

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 110.67 ₴ +14.90 (+13.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 8%
Losing outcome 74%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113111

65.98 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075996

102.25 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113111

100.63 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113111

84.14 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

108.08 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.067866

303.11 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113111

175.47 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.058817

864.80 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.056555

317.77 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.197686

104.46 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8.97 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.61 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build