The Falchion Collection — craft

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3879

108.37 ₴

at 36.12

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested) — 43.93 ₴ +7.81 ₴ per item · on the market 370 · buy 0.1500–0.2327
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) — 45.16 ₴ +9.03 ₴ per item · on the market 218 · buy 0.1500–0.3378
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) — 63.76 ₴ +27.64 ₴ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1939

Steam

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1760

270.93 ₴

at 45.16

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Handgun (Minimal Wear) — 90.31 ₴ +45.16 ₴ per item · on the market 194 · buy 0.0700–0.0706
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 252.71 ₴ +207.56 ₴ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.0000–0.0353
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 310.04 ₴ +264.88 ₴ per item · on the market 199 · buy 0.0000–0.0423

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4918

78.26 ₴

at 78.26

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Eye of Zapems (Battle-Scarred) — 82.64 ₴ +4.38 ₴ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.4500–0.5098
XM1014 | Monster Melt (Well-Worn) — 97.37 ₴ +19.11 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.3800–0.4498

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 457.57 ₴ +23.30 (+5.1%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3839

72.25 ₴

at 36.12

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested) — 43.93 ₴ +7.81 ₴ per item · on the market 370 · buy 0.1500–0.2303
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) — 45.16 ₴ +9.03 ₴ per item · on the market 218 · buy 0.1500–0.3358
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) — 63.76 ₴ +27.64 ₴ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1919

Steam

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

270.93 ₴

at 45.16

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 252.71 ₴ +207.56 ₴ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.0000–0.0225
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 310.04 ₴ +264.88 ₴ per item · on the market 199 · buy 0.0000–0.0270
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 380.34 ₴ +335.18 ₴ per item · on the market 417 · buy 0.0000–0.0234

Steam

×2

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4709

156.52 ₴

at 78.26

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Eye of Zapems (Battle-Scarred) — 82.64 ₴ +4.38 ₴ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.4500–0.4881
XM1014 | Monster Melt (Well-Worn) — 97.37 ₴ +19.11 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.3800–0.4307

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 499.70 ₴ +10.78 (+2.2%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 5%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

246.74 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 090.66 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

219.43 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Crakow!

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

1 216.83 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.174999

502.19 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −50.84 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.13 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3343651 · The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 25.60₴ · invest 514.49₴
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Battle-Scarred) instead of Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Battle-Scarred); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385904 instead of 0.387922; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169400 instead of 0.176030
Craft 3344145 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 25.13₴ · invest 448.73₴
rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Battle-Scarred); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383548 instead of 0.387922; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161659 instead of 0.176030
Craft 3344122 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 23.61₴ · invest 431.04₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Battle-Scarred); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.386012 instead of 0.387922; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169756 instead of 0.176030

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

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The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build