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The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +259.78₽

Invest 488.03₽

Average return 747.81₽

ROI +53.2%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 1 165.62 ₽, profit at most −417.81 ₽

float premium: at least 629 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +296.68 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

307.50 ₽

at 61.50

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 118.99 ₽ +57.49 ₽ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 143.67 ₽ +82.17 ₽ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0023
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 147.22 ₽ +85.72 ₽ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0000–0.0051

Steam

×2

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

38.00 ₽

at 19.00

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) — 23.12 ₽ +4.12 ₽ per item · on the market 1 066 · buy 0.1500–0.1881
Glock-18 | Green Line (Field-Tested) — 32.08 ₽ +13.08 ₽ per item · on the market 1 996 · buy 0.1500–0.1881
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) — 47.51 ₽ +28.51 ₽ per item · on the market 428 · buy 0.0700–0.1405

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

142.53 ₽

at 47.51

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 68.42 ₽ +20.91 ₽ per item · on the market 512 · buy 0.0700–0.0992
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 85.00 ₽ +37.49 ₽ per item · on the market 631 · buy 0.0700–0.0853
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 97.64 ₽ +50.13 ₽ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.0992

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 488.03 ₽ +259.78 (+53.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

123.00 ₽

at 61.50

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 118.99 ₽ +57.49 ₽ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 143.67 ₽ +82.17 ₽ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0034
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 147.22 ₽ +85.72 ₽ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0000–0.0074

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

142.53 ₽

at 47.51

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 68.42 ₽ +20.91 ₽ per item · on the market 512 · buy 0.0700–0.1017
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 85.00 ₽ +37.49 ₽ per item · on the market 631 · buy 0.0700–0.0875
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 97.64 ₽ +50.13 ₽ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.1017

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

342.10 ₽

at 68.42

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 97.64 ₽ +29.22 ₽ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) — 198.14 ₽ +129.72 ₽ per item · on the market 586 · buy 0.0000–0.0567
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 315.15 ₽ +246.73 ₽ per item · on the market 267 · buy 0.0000–0.0653

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 607.63 ₽ +270.45 (+44.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×4

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

246.00 ₽

at 61.50

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 118.99 ₽ +57.49 ₽ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 143.67 ₽ +82.17 ₽ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0032
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 147.22 ₽ +85.72 ₽ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0000–0.0069

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

23.12 ₽

at 23.12

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Field-Tested) — 32.08 ₽ +8.96 ₽ per item · on the market 1 996 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) — 47.51 ₽ +24.39 ₽ per item · on the market 428 · buy 0.0700–0.1239
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 85.00 ₽ +61.88 ₽ per item · on the market 631 · buy 0.0700–0.1427

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

237.55 ₽

at 47.51

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 68.42 ₽ +20.91 ₽ per item · on the market 512 · buy 0.0700–0.1012
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 85.00 ₽ +37.49 ₽ per item · on the market 631 · buy 0.0700–0.0870
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 97.64 ₽ +50.13 ₽ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.1012

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 506.67 ₽ +284.56 (+56.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

184.50 ₽

at 61.50

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 118.99 ₽ +57.49 ₽ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 143.67 ₽ +82.17 ₽ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0030
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 147.22 ₽ +85.72 ₽ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

285.06 ₽

at 47.51

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 68.42 ₽ +20.91 ₽ per item · on the market 512 · buy 0.0700–0.1008
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 85.00 ₽ +37.49 ₽ per item · on the market 631 · buy 0.0700–0.0867
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 97.64 ₽ +50.13 ₽ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.1008

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

68.42 ₽

at 68.42

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 97.64 ₽ +29.22 ₽ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) — 198.14 ₽ +129.72 ₽ per item · on the market 586 · buy 0.0000–0.0561
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 315.15 ₽ +246.73 ₽ per item · on the market 267 · buy 0.0000–0.0647

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 537.98 ₽ +296.68 (+55.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×6

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

369.00 ₽

at 61.50

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 118.99 ₽ +57.49 ₽ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 143.67 ₽ +82.17 ₽ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0030
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 147.22 ₽ +85.72 ₽ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

92.48 ₽

at 23.12

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Field-Tested) — 32.08 ₽ +8.96 ₽ per item · on the market 1 996 · buy 0.1500–0.1651
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) — 47.51 ₽ +24.39 ₽ per item · on the market 428 · buy 0.0700–0.1232
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 85.00 ₽ +61.88 ₽ per item · on the market 631 · buy 0.0700–0.1420

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 461.48 ₽ +242.91 (+52.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 10%

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

779.99 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 194.42 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

1 354.60 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

549.28 ₽ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 347.36 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

652.14 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

422.69 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

80.00 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +146.72 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +226.13 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build