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Crafts · The Fever Collection

prices updated 24.10 01:22 MSK

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The Fever Collection + The Glove Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −66.23$

Invest at least 279.87$

Average return 213.64$

ROI −23.7%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 279.87 $, profit at most −66.23 $

float premium: at least 165 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −68 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

85.08 $

at 9.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 18.14 $ +8.69 $ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 19.31 $ +9.86 $ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.0768

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

25.98 $

at 25.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) — 30.67 $ +4.69 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.37 $ +19.39 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0000–0.0042

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 111.06 $ +102.58 (+92.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −84 $

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

66.17 $

at 9.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 18.14 $ +8.69 $ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.0700–0.0807
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 19.31 $ +9.86 $ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.0807

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

16.80 $

at 16.80

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) — 17.67 $ +0.86 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.37 $ +28.57 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0000–0.0538

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

51.97 $

at 25.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) — 30.67 $ +4.69 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0000–0.0100
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.37 $ +19.39 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 134.94 $ +66.99 (+49.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −107 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

28.36 $

at 9.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 18.14 $ +8.69 $ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.0700–0.0796
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 19.31 $ +9.86 $ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.0796

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

67.21 $

at 16.80

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) — 17.67 $ +0.86 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.37 $ +28.57 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0000–0.0531

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

77.95 $

at 25.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) — 30.67 $ +4.69 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0000–0.0090
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.37 $ +19.39 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 173.52 $ +4.97 (+2.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −87 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

56.72 $

at 9.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 18.14 $ +8.69 $ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.0700–0.0783
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 19.31 $ +9.86 $ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.0783

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

33.61 $

at 16.80

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) — 17.67 $ +0.86 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0731
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.37 $ +28.57 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0000–0.0522

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

51.97 $

at 25.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) — 30.67 $ +4.69 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.37 $ +19.39 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0000–0.0052

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 142.29 $ +53.78 (+37.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −91 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

47.26 $

at 9.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 18.14 $ +8.69 $ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 19.31 $ +9.86 $ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.0760

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

50.41 $

at 16.80

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) — 17.67 $ +0.86 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0710
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.37 $ +28.57 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0000–0.0507

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

51.97 $

at 25.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) — 30.67 $ +4.69 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.37 $ +19.39 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0000–0.0038

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 149.64 $ +40.57 (+27.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

415.49 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

89.36 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

188.84 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

181.27 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Glove Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +71.10 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +93.36 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3344757 · The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 112.43$ · invest 98.78$
profit on prices without salesat least −61 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New)
Craft 3334670 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 112.09$ · invest 101.53$
profit on prices without salesat least −67 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3337366 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 111.04$ · invest 109.73$
profit on prices without salesat least −75 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076905 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3343493 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 110.23$ · invest 112.52$
profit on prices without salesat least −66 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075965 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3340377 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 106.18$ · invest 101.59$
profit on prices without salesat least −60 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3344661 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 104.31$ · invest 106.80$
profit on prices without salesat least −67 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3344405 · The Fever Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 102.60$ · invest 110.83$
profit on prices without salesat least −76 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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