The Fever Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈7, цена занижена

×5

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

383.29 ₴

at 76.66

if this one runs out, you can take

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New) — 83.93 ₴ +7.27 ₴ per item · on the market 849 · buy 0.0000–0.0037
Galil AR | Control (Factory New) — 129.08 ₴ +52.43 ₴ per item · on the market 272 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New) — 150.51 ₴ +73.85 ₴ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0000–0.0061

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

121.90 ₴

at 60.95

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) — 91.46 ₴ +30.51 ₴ per item · on the market 69 · buy 0.0700–0.1022
P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 152.85 ₴ +91.90 ₴ per item · on the market 179 · buy 0.0700–0.1484
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 291.61 ₴ +230.67 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0700–0.1484

Steam

×3

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

337.02 ₴

at 112.34

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 244.34 ₴ +132.00 ₴ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0466
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 291.61 ₴ +179.27 ₴ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0676
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 1 216.51 ₴ +1 104.17 ₴ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0000–0.0676

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 842.21 ₴ +743.69 (+88.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

153.31 ₴

at 76.66

if this one runs out, you can take

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New) — 83.93 ₴ +7.27 ₴ per item · on the market 849 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
Galil AR | Control (Factory New) — 129.08 ₴ +52.43 ₴ per item · on the market 272 · buy 0.0000–0.0089
P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New) — 150.51 ₴ +73.85 ₴ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0000–0.0106

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

786.39 ₴

at 112.34

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 152.85 ₴ +40.50 ₴ per item · on the market 179 · buy 0.0700–0.0711
MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 244.34 ₴ +132.00 ₴ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0489
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 291.61 ₴ +179.27 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0700–0.0711

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

244.34 ₴

at 244.34

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 291.61 ₴ +47.27 ₴ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0114
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 334.84 ₴ +90.50 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0127
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 1 216.51 ₴ +972.17 ₴ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0000–0.0114

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 184.05 ₴ +925.63 (+78.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

76.66 ₴

at 76.66

if this one runs out, you can take

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New) — 83.93 ₴ +7.27 ₴ per item · on the market 849 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
Galil AR | Control (Factory New) — 129.08 ₴ +52.43 ₴ per item · on the market 272 · buy 0.0000–0.0088
P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New) — 150.51 ₴ +73.85 ₴ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0000–0.0105

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

786.39 ₴

at 112.34

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 152.85 ₴ +40.50 ₴ per item · on the market 179 · buy 0.0700–0.0709
MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 244.34 ₴ +132.00 ₴ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0489
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 291.61 ₴ +179.27 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0700–0.0709

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

488.69 ₴

at 244.34

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 291.61 ₴ +47.27 ₴ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0112
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 334.84 ₴ +90.50 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0125
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 1 216.51 ₴ +972.17 ₴ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0000–0.0112

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 351.73 ₴ +932.54 (+69.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈10, цена занижена

×4

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

306.63 ₴

at 76.66

if this one runs out, you can take

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New) — 83.93 ₴ +7.27 ₴ per item · on the market 849 · buy 0.0000–0.0048
Galil AR | Control (Factory New) — 129.08 ₴ +52.43 ₴ per item · on the market 272 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New) — 150.51 ₴ +73.85 ₴ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1697

60.95 ₴

at 60.95

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Field-Tested) — 66.69 ₴ +5.75 ₴ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.1500–0.1527
MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) — 91.46 ₴ +30.51 ₴ per item · on the market 69 · buy 0.0700–0.1052
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested) — 130.13 ₴ +69.18 ₴ per item · on the market 221 · buy 0.1500–0.1527

Steam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

561.71 ₴

at 112.34

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 244.34 ₴ +132.00 ₴ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0476
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 291.61 ₴ +179.27 ₴ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0691
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 1 216.51 ₴ +1 104.17 ₴ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0000–0.0691

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 929.29 ₴ +831.21 (+89.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

233.09 ₴

at 46.62

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) — 50.94 ₴ +4.32 ₴ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0700–0.0792
Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) — 76.66 ₴ +30.04 ₴ per item · on the market 488 · buy 0.0000–0.0554
Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New) — 83.93 ₴ +37.31 ₴ per item · on the market 849 · buy 0.0000–0.0451

Steam

×4

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

306.63 ₴

at 76.66

if this one runs out, you can take

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New) — 83.93 ₴ +7.27 ₴ per item · on the market 849 · buy 0.0000–0.0037
Galil AR | Control (Factory New) — 129.08 ₴ +52.43 ₴ per item · on the market 272 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New) — 150.51 ₴ +73.85 ₴ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0000–0.0063

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

60.95 ₴

at 60.95

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) — 91.46 ₴ +30.51 ₴ per item · on the market 69 · buy 0.0700–0.1025
P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 152.85 ₴ +91.90 ₴ per item · on the market 179 · buy 0.0700–0.1487
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 291.61 ₴ +230.67 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0700–0.1487

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 600.67 ₴ +286.86 (+47.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 33%
About break-even 17%

at a loss

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

841.02 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Shinobu

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

943.92 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

674.69 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 557.35 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

1 471.32 ₴ 16.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

1 454.41 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +494.92 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +682.70 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3339717 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 711.58₴ · invest 861.06₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163464 instead of 0.164994; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074683 instead of 0.075215
Craft 3355299 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 703.34₴ · invest 775.18₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164529 instead of 0.164994; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075053 instead of 0.075215
Craft 3354657 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 689.92₴ · invest 933.58₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165258 instead of 0.164994; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075307 instead of 0.075215
Craft 3340998 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 609.06₴ · invest 957.19₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Minimal Wear), P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163821 instead of 0.164994; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074807 instead of 0.075215

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build

What you get 6 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build