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Crafts · The Prisma Collection

prices updated 24.10 01:22 MSK

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The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +31.79$

Invest 77.70$

Average return 109.50$

ROI +40.9%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 188.77 $, profit at most −79.27 $

float premium: at least 106 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +34.83 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3836

12.22 $

at 6.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 7.44 $ +1.33 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.3191
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) — 11.09 $ +4.97 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.3800–0.4431

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

52.09 $

at 7.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.46 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2737
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.87 $ +14.43 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.0910

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

13.39 $

at 13.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 31.60 $ +18.21 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1215
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 44.97 $ +31.58 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0810

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 77.70 $ +31.79 (+40.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3872

6.11 $

at 6.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 7.44 $ +1.33 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.3210
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) — 11.09 $ +4.97 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.3800–0.4452

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1738

52.09 $

at 7.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.46 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2864
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.87 $ +14.43 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1129

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1738

26.78 $

at 13.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 31.60 $ +18.21 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1303
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 44.97 $ +31.58 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0869

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 84.98 $ +31.60 (+37.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −53 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1715

37.21 $

at 7.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.46 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2839
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.87 $ +14.43 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1087

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1715

66.96 $

at 13.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 31.60 $ +18.21 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1286
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 44.97 $ +31.58 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0857

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 104.16 $ +33.69 (+32.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3850

6.11 $

at 6.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 7.44 $ +1.33 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.3198
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) — 11.09 $ +4.97 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.3800–0.4439

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

44.65 $

at 7.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.46 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2787
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.87 $ +14.43 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.0997

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

40.17 $

at 13.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 31.60 $ +18.21 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1250
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 44.97 $ +31.58 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0833

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 90.93 $ +32.74 (+36.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −36 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

44.65 $

at 7.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.46 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2764
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.87 $ +14.43 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.0957

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3844

13.04 $

at 13.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Field-Tested) — 19.31 $ +6.27 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.1500–0.2883
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Field-Tested) — 24.90 $ +11.86 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.1500–0.1922

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

40.17 $

at 13.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 31.60 $ +18.21 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1234
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 44.97 $ +31.58 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0822

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 97.86 $ +32.90 (+33.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081666

75.00 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

160.53 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125833

213.56 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

185.03 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Prisma Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.00 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25.45 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3350457 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 34.98$ · invest 71.45$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383983 instead of 0.383657; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163088 instead of 0.162018
Craft 3336749 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 32.75$ · invest 76.67$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385974 instead of 0.383657; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169631 instead of 0.162018
Craft 3343916 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 31.72$ · invest 73.01$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385974 instead of 0.383657; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169631 instead of 0.162018
Craft 3335061 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 31.63$ · invest 71.21$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385755 instead of 0.383657; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168910 instead of 0.162018

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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