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The Shadow Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +66 544.45₸

Invest 185 222.42₸

Average return 251 766.87₸

ROI +35.9%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 446 906.69 ₸, profit at most −195 139.82 ₸

float premium: at least 234 547 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +72 400.98 ₸ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −123 162 ₸

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is +4 484.07 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

60 809.11 ₸

at 20 269.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 29 049.16 ₸ +8 779.46 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.0901
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 39 052.89 ₸ +18 783.19 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0528

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

7 998.01 ₸

at 7 998.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 19 402.55 ₸ +11 404.54 ₸ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.1500–0.2146
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) — 46 217.38 ₸ +38 219.37 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1216

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

116 415.30 ₸

at 19 402.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Factory New) — 66 628.98 ₸ +47 226.43 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0483
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New) — 136 880.27 ₸ +117 477.72 ₸ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.0000–0.0362

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 185 222.42 ₸ +66 544.45 (+35.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −230 530 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

141 887.92 ₸

at 20 269.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 29 049.16 ₸ +8 779.46 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.0936
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 39 052.89 ₸ +18 783.19 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0554

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

78 105.78 ₸

at 39 052.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 48 124.51 ₸ +9 071.62 ₸ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0098
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 90 498.67 ₸ +51 445.78 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0200–0.0292

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

19 402.55 ₸

at 19 402.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Minimal Wear) — 20 283.03 ₸ +880.48 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0716
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New) — 136 880.27 ₸ +117 477.72 ₸ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.0000–0.0537

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 239 396.25 ₸ +3.88 (+0.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −103 696 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

20 269.70 ₸

at 20 269.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 29 049.16 ₸ +8 779.46 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.0913
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 39 052.89 ₸ +18 783.19 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0537

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

7 998.01 ₸

at 7 998.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 19 402.55 ₸ +11 404.54 ₸ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.1500–0.2163
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) — 46 217.38 ₸ +38 219.37 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1244

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

155 220.40 ₸

at 19 402.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Factory New) — 66 628.98 ₸ +47 226.43 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0562
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New) — 136 880.27 ₸ +117 477.72 ₸ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.0000–0.0422

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 183 488.12 ₸ +72 400.98 (+39.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −154 032 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

101 348.52 ₸

at 20 269.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 29 049.16 ₸ +8 779.46 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.0913
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 39 052.89 ₸ +18 783.19 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0536

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

97 012.75 ₸

at 19 402.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Factory New) — 66 628.98 ₸ +47 226.43 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0561
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New) — 136 880.27 ₸ +117 477.72 ₸ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.0000–0.0420

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 198 361.27 ₸ +49 283.38 (+24.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −202 014 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

141 887.92 ₸

at 20 269.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 29 049.16 ₸ +8 779.46 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.0910
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 39 052.89 ₸ +18 783.19 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0534

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

39 052.89 ₸

at 39 052.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 48 124.51 ₸ +9 071.62 ₸ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 90 498.67 ₸ +51 445.78 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0200–0.0260

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

38 805.10 ₸

at 19 402.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Factory New) — 66 628.98 ₸ +47 226.43 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0541
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New) — 136 880.27 ₸ +117 477.72 ₸ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.0000–0.0405

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 219 745.91 ₸ +21 715.33 (+9.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 15%
About break-even 35%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

389 372.79 ₸ 35.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

180 934.12 ₸ 35.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

199 197.26 ₸ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

346 682.51 ₸ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 only The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +55 520.59 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +63 072.63 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3356780 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 67 635.02₸ · invest 147 236.67₸
profit on prices without salesat least −75 292 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162234 instead of 0.162249; StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162234 instead of 0.162249

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build