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The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −162.02$

Invest at least 356.64$

Average return 194.62$

ROI −45.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 356.64 $, profit at most −162.02 $

float premium: at least 201 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +52.79 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −65 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

79.41 $

at 13.23

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 32.00 $ +18.77 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0000–0.0529
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 32.73 $ +19.49 $ per item · on the market 214 · buy 0.0700–0.0903

Steam

×3

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

45.30 $

at 15.10

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 25.44 $ +10.34 $ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0664
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 42.69 $ +27.59 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0000–0.0465

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | High Roller

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

25.44 $

at 25.44

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) — 31.42 $ +5.98 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0300–0.0326
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 42.69 $ +17.26 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0000–0.0027

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 150.14 $ +44.48 (+29.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −80 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

39.70 $

at 13.23

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 32.00 $ +18.77 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0000–0.0556
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 32.73 $ +19.49 $ per item · on the market 214 · buy 0.0700–0.0938

Steam

×6

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

90.60 $

at 15.10

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) — 15.38 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0700–0.0719
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 42.69 $ +27.59 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0000–0.0503

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | High Roller

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

25.44 $

at 25.44

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) — 31.42 $ +5.98 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0300–0.0348
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 42.69 $ +17.26 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0000–0.0050

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 155.74 $ +42.95 (+27.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −65 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

105.88 $

at 13.23

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 32.00 $ +18.77 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0000–0.0549
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 32.73 $ +19.49 $ per item · on the market 214 · buy 0.0700–0.0930

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | High Roller

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

50.87 $

at 25.44

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) — 31.42 $ +5.98 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0300–0.0342
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 42.69 $ +17.26 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0000–0.0044

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 156.75 $ +35.15 (+22.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −75 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

52.94 $

at 13.23

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 32.00 $ +18.77 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0000–0.0548
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 32.73 $ +19.49 $ per item · on the market 214 · buy 0.0700–0.0927

Steam

×5

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

75.50 $

at 15.10

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) — 15.38 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0700–0.0702
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 42.69 $ +27.59 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0000–0.0491

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | High Roller

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

25.44 $

at 25.44

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) — 31.42 $ +5.98 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0300–0.0341
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 42.69 $ +17.26 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0000–0.0043

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 153.87 $ +43.46 (+28.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −69 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

105.88 $

at 13.23

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 32.00 $ +18.77 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0000–0.0547
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 32.73 $ +19.49 $ per item · on the market 214 · buy 0.0700–0.0927

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

32.00 $

at 32.00

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 46.31 $ +14.31 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 140.01 $ +108.01 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.0200–0.0281

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | High Roller

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

25.44 $

at 25.44

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) — 31.42 $ +5.98 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0300–0.0340
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 42.69 $ +17.26 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0000–0.0042

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 163.32 $ +27.23 (+16.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

225.28 $ 30.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

209.86 $ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | The Empress

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

313.52 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | See Ya Later

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

152.84 $ 20.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12.56 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +34.30 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3347980 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 49.92$ · invest 126.15$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New), G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075465 instead of 0.074511

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build