The Shadow Collection
+ The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
StatTrak™
Restricted → Classified
About the craftCraft 3356710 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×5
StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0042
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
2 019.84 ₴
at 403.97
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 607.98 ₴+204.01 ₴ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0000–0.0062
StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 690.36 ₴+286.39 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0069
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 1 492.55 ₴+1 088.58 ₴ per item · on the market 15 · buy0.0000–0.0062
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004280f′ (normalized) 0.006903wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 28 · from 1 113.63 ₴ (float 0.0031) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×5
StatTrak™ P90 | Virus
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0748
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
1 462.84 ₴
at 292.57
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 332.37 ₴+39.80 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy0.0700–0.0748
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 519.50 ₴+226.93 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy0.0000–0.0016
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 713.28 ₴+420.71 ₴ per item · on the market 58 · buy0.0000–0.0040
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074891f′ (normalized) 0.020123wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 23) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 10 pcs3 482.68 ₴
+1 864.33
(+53.5%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −2 936 ₴
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −2 936 ₴: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New), StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Factory New), StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Factory New), StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Factory New)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 11% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×9
StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
3 635.71 ₴
at 403.97
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 607.98 ₴+204.01 ₴ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0000–0.0109
StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 690.36 ₴+286.39 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0122
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 1 492.55 ₴+1 088.58 ₴ per item · on the market 15 · buy0.0000–0.0109
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007572f′ (normalized) 0.012213wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 28 · from 1 113.63 ₴ (float 0.0031) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ P90 | Virus
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0786
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
292.57 ₴
at 292.57
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 332.37 ₴+39.80 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy0.0700–0.0786
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 519.50 ₴+226.93 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy0.0000–0.0020
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 713.28 ₴+420.71 ₴ per item · on the market 58 · buy0.0000–0.0050
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.078654f′ (normalized) 0.025208wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 23) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 10 pcs3 928.28 ₴
+696.80
(+17.7%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −2 646 ₴
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −2 646 ₴: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New), StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Factory New), StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Factory New), StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Factory New)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 10% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×8
StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
3 231.74 ₴
at 403.97
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 607.98 ₴+204.01 ₴ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0000–0.0098
StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 690.36 ₴+286.39 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0109
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 1 492.55 ₴+1 088.58 ₴ per item · on the market 15 · buy0.0000–0.0098
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006760f′ (normalized) 0.010903wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 28 · from 1 113.63 ₴ (float 0.0031) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ P90 | Virus
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0777
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
585.14 ₴
at 292.57
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 332.37 ₴+39.80 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy0.0700–0.0777
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 519.50 ₴+226.93 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy0.0000–0.0019
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 713.28 ₴+420.71 ₴ per item · on the market 58 · buy0.0000–0.0047
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077725f′ (normalized) 0.023953wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 23) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 10 pcs3 816.88 ₴
+988.68
(+25.9%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −2 357 ₴
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −2 357 ₴: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New), StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Factory New), StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Factory New), StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Factory New)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 8% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×7
StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0059
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
2 827.77 ₴
at 403.97
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 607.98 ₴+204.01 ₴ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0000–0.0086
StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 690.36 ₴+286.39 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0095
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 1 492.55 ₴+1 088.58 ₴ per item · on the market 15 · buy0.0000–0.0086
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005940f′ (normalized) 0.009581wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 28 · from 1 113.63 ₴ (float 0.0031) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ P90 | Virus
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0767
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
877.71 ₴
at 292.57
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 332.37 ₴+39.80 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy0.0700–0.0767
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 519.50 ₴+226.93 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy0.0000–0.0018
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 713.28 ₴+420.71 ₴ per item · on the market 58 · buy0.0000–0.0045
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076789f′ (normalized) 0.022688wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 23) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 10 pcs3 705.48 ₴
+1 280.56
(+34.6%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −2 068 ₴
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −2 068 ₴: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New), StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Factory New), StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Factory New), StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Factory New)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 7% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×6
StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0051
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
2 423.81 ₴
at 403.97
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 607.98 ₴+204.01 ₴ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0000–0.0074
StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 690.36 ₴+286.39 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0082
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 1 492.55 ₴+1 088.58 ₴ per item · on the market 15 · buy0.0000–0.0074
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005113f′ (normalized) 0.008248wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 28 · from 1 113.63 ₴ (float 0.0031) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ P90 | Virus
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0758
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
1 170.28 ₴
at 292.57
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 332.37 ₴+39.80 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy0.0700–0.0758
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 519.50 ₴+226.93 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy0.0000–0.0017
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 713.28 ₴+420.71 ₴ per item · on the market 58 · buy0.0000–0.0042
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075844f′ (normalized) 0.021411wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 23) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
rarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 693.12 ₴sell now to a buy order: 7 693.12 ₴
(you get 6 689.67 ₴)) · buy orders: 930
sell on Market.CSGO: 7 233.56 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 7 931.53 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 6 362.17 ₴listings: 33
on CS.Money: ~ 6 984.30 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 6 739.81 ₴listings: 36
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 4 830.01 ₴, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 2 258.77 ₴
(you get 1 964.15 ₴)) · buy orders: 116
sell on Market.CSGO: 2 979.07 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 3 266.52 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 2 726.19 ₴listings: 8
on CS.Money: ~ 2 705.28 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 2 685.29 ₴listings: 18
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron
Factory New
float up to 0.008648
2 810.71 ₴16.67%
rarely sells
SteamStatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New)net 2 444.10 ₴sells 2 a weekrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 2 810.71 ₴sell now to a buy order: 2 810.71 ₴
(you get 2 444.09 ₴)) · buy orders: 572
sell on Market.CSGO: 3 284.60 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 3 601.53 · lots 16price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 2 848.89 ₴listings: 24
on CS.Money: ~ 3 191.08 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 2 905.69 ₴listings: 51
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the lowest sale 6 363.02 ₴no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 5 503.73 ₴listings: 3
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 186.53 ₴sell now to a buy order: 7 186.53 ₴
(you get 6 249.16 ₴)) · buy orders: 496
sell on Market.CSGO: 6 560.68 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 7 193.72 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 6 277.19 ₴listings: 23
on CS.Money: ~ 6 438.97 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 6 315.36 ₴listings: 30
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 264.62 ₴sell now to a buy order: 3 264.62 ₴
(you get 2 838.80 ₴)) · buy orders: 332Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 3 181.08 ₴listings: 13Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
in profit
best
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
10 588.47 ₴12.50%
sell on CSFloat
SteamStatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Factory New)net 10 376.69 ₴The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 10 588.47 ₴listings 3 · you get 10 376.69 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 9 252.56 ₴
(you get 8 045.71 ₴)) · buy orders: 176not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 10 588.47 ₴listings: 3Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) × 56% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.472 019.84 → 4 989.00 ₴
StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) × 56% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.471 462.84 → 3 613.23 ₴
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.031486, 0.012162, 0.008648, 0.069999, 0.063243, 0.063243, 0.069999
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+1 296.15 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+1 787.89 ₴historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
15 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3355554
· The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1 978.30₴
· invest 2 185.79₴
profit on prices without salesat least −430 ₴marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074891
Craft 3346868
· The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1 925.84₴
· invest 2 753.60₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 197 ₴marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074891
Craft 3345082
· The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1 910.56₴
· invest 2 430.49₴
profit on prices without salesat least −525 ₴marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074891
Craft 3342199
· The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1 877.83₴
· invest 3 016.97₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 247 ₴marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074891
Craft 3357035
· The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1 862.26₴
· invest 2 450.56₴
profit on prices without salesat least −691 ₴marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074891
Craft 3335361
· The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1 809.09₴
· invest 2 519.40₴
profit on prices without salesat least −879 ₴marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074891
Craft 3341270
· The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1 775.80₴
· invest 2 363.93₴
profit on prices without salesat least −417 ₴marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074891
Craft 3357286
· The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1 761.15₴
· invest 2 419.18₴
profit on prices without salesat least −902 ₴marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074100 instead of 0.074891
profit on prices without salesat least −961 ₴marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074676 instead of 0.074891
Craft 3352003
· The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1 501.54₴
· invest 2 262.10₴
profit on prices without salesat least −326 ₴marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074886 instead of 0.074891
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.