Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3358184 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(1% of this wear's listings)
30 988.58 ₴
at 10 329.53
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 13 354.03 ₴+3 024.51 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0155
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.016891wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 20 563.99 ₴ · among lots up to 22 577.80 ₴
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 115 · from 15 441.14 ₴ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(3% of this wear's listings)
14 148.51 ₴
at 7 074.25
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 10 015.74 ₴+2 941.49 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy0.0000–0.0084
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.008445wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 28 222.26 ₴ · little data, days: 2
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 137 · from 14 550.32 ₴ (float 0.0042) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs45 137.08 ₴
−8 089.48
(−17.9%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0112
(1% of this wear's listings)
10 329.53 ₴
at 10 329.53
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 13 354.03 ₴+3 024.51 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0207
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011261f′ (normalized) 0.022522wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 20 563.99 ₴ · among lots up to 22 577.80 ₴
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 115 · from 15 441.14 ₴ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×4
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0112
(11% of this wear's listings)
28 297.01 ₴
at 7 074.25
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 10 015.74 ₴+2 941.49 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy0.0000–0.0112
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011261f′ (normalized) 0.011261wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 11 189.69 ₴ · little data, days: 2
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 137 · from 10 040.58 ₴ (float 0.0092) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs38 626.54 ₴
−21 574.10
(−55.9%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(1% of this wear's listings)
20 659.05 ₴
at 10 329.53
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 13 354.03 ₴+3 024.51 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0177
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.019304wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 20 563.99 ₴ · among lots up to 22 577.80 ₴
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 115 · from 15 441.14 ₴ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×3
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(3% of this wear's listings)
21 222.76 ₴
at 7 074.25
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 10 015.74 ₴+2 941.49 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy0.0000–0.0096
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.009652wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 28 222.26 ₴ · little data, days: 2
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 137 · from 10 040.58 ₴ (float 0.0092) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs41 881.81 ₴
−14 831.78
(−35.4%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(1% of this wear's listings)
41 318.11 ₴
at 10 329.53
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 13 354.03 ₴+3 024.51 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0138
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.015014wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 20 563.99 ₴ · among lots up to 22 577.80 ₴
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 115 · from 15 441.14 ₴ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(3% of this wear's listings)
7 074.25 ₴
at 7 074.25
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 10 015.74 ₴+2 941.49 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy0.0000–0.0075
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.007507wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 28 222.26 ₴ · little data, days: 2
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 137 · from 14 550.32 ₴ (float 0.0042) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 83 752.38 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 85 461.62 ₴listings 284 · you get 83 752.38 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 93 406.14 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 102 419.02 · lots 18price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 85 461.62 ₴listings: 284
on CS.Money: ~ 97 452.03 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 92 869.00 ₴listings: 189
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 64 138.19 ₴sell now to a buy order: 64 138.19 ₴
(you get 55 772.33 ₴)) · buy orders: 1359
sell on Market.CSGO: 56 439.17 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 61 885.06 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 54 078.41 ₴listings: 146
on CS.Money: ~ 66 464.19 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 56 052.50 ₴listings: 70
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 45 013.92 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 45 932.57 ₴listings 10 · you get 45 013.92 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 45 932.57 ₴listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 56 487.86 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 56 397.88 ₴listings: 13
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 45 611.42 ₴sell now to a buy order: 45 611.42 ₴
(you get 39 662.10 ₴)) · buy orders: 362Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 36 920.11 ₴listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 42 895.54 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 42 479.28 ₴listings: 16
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 58 083.65 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 59 269.03 ₴listings 23 · you get 58 083.65 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 74 229.74 ₴
(you get 64 547.60 ₴)) · buy orders: 413Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 59 269.03 ₴listings: 23
on CS.Money: ~ 60 683.71 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 59 311.30 ₴listings: 24
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 31 182.19 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 31 818.56 ₴listings 5 · you get 31 182.19 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 31 763.49 ₴
(you get 27 620.42 ₴)) · buy orders: 129Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 31 818.56 ₴listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 28 067.15 ₴listings: 5
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 39 634.96 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 40 443.84 ₴listings 4 · you get 39 634.96 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 41 088.72 ₴
(you get 35 729.32 ₴)) · buy orders: 132Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 40 443.84 ₴listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 40 282.06 ₴listings: 10
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 196 543.93 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 200 555.03 ₴listings 3 · you get 196 543.93 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 92 071.11 ₴
(you get 80 061.83 ₴)) · buy orders: 152not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 200 555.03 ₴listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 198 011.53 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 212 433.66 ₴listings: 7
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New)net 57 659.68 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 58 836.41 ₴listings 6 · you get 57 659.68 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 55 242.24 ₴
(you get 48 036.73 ₴)) · buy orders: 155not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 58 836.41 ₴listings: 6Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 37 854.89 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 38 627.44 ₴listings 6 · you get 37 854.89 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 38 702.65 ₴
(you get 33 654.48 ₴)) · buy orders: 252not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 38 627.44 ₴listings: 6Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 23 556.57 ₴
(you get 20 483.97 ₴)) · buy orders: 127not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on Lis-Skins: from 32 566.57 ₴listings: 9
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 41 863.05 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 42 717.40 ₴listings 9 · you get 41 863.05 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 35 280.74 ₴
(you get 30 678.91 ₴)) · buy orders: 144not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 42 717.40 ₴listings: 9
on Lis-Skins: from 49 244.53 ₴listings: 3
Steam★ Butterfly Knifenet 54 533.09 ₴sells 4 a weeknow 62 713.05 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 68 189.50 ₴sell now to a buy order: 58 192.10 ₴
(you get 50 601.82 ₴)) · buy orders: 3462
sell on Market.CSGO: 51 992.17 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 57 008.96 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 47 977.10 ₴listings: 79
on CS.Money: ~ 57 105.44 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 50 689.66 ₴listings: 96
now 10 369.69 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 12 538.13 ₴sell now to a buy order: 9 906.02 ₴
(you get 8 613.93 ₴)) · buy orders: 845
sell on Market.CSGO: 8 498.92 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 9 318.99 · lots 17price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 7 739.12 ₴listings: 102
on CS.Money: ~ 8 654.82 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 8 111.76 ₴listings: 57
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 11 711.27 ₴The Falchion Collectionsells 8 a weekmonth average 13 467.96 ₴, sold 16 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 11 531.43 ₴
(you get 10 027.33 ₴)) · buy orders: 383Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 9 452.36 ₴listings: 21
on CS.Money: ~ 10 353.97 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 11 632.77 ₴listings: 11
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 13 696.15 ₴sell now to a buy order: 13 696.15 ₴
(you get 11 909.70 ₴)) · buy orders: 143Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 12 716.61 ₴listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 13 967.68 ₴
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 108.20 ₴sell now to a buy order: 7 108.20 ₴
(you get 6 181.04 ₴)) · buy orders: 126Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 8 775.70 ₴listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 16 434.46 ₴sell now to a buy order: 16 434.46 ₴
(you get 14 290.83 ₴)) · buy orders: 160Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 13 996.77 ₴listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 14 278.52 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 15 379.63 ₴listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 351.67 ₴sell now to a buy order: 6 351.67 ₴
(you get 5 523.19 ₴)) · buy orders: 139Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 514.45 ₴sell now to a buy order: 4 514.45 ₴
(you get 3 925.60 ₴)) · buy orders: 93Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)The Falchion Collectionsell now to a buy order: 29 922.67 ₴
(you get 26 019.71 ₴)) · buy orders: 40Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Night (Factory New)net 13 360.55 ₴The Falchion Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 13 633.21 ₴listings 3 · you get 13 360.55 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 10 307.20 ₴
(you get 8 962.78 ₴)) · buy orders: 80
sell on Market.CSGO: 17 315.26 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 18 986.04 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 13 633.21 ₴listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 15 568.68 ₴listings: 3
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 6 455.82 ₴The Falchion Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 6 587.57 ₴listings 3 · you get 6 455.82 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 4 300.51 ₴
(you get 3 739.57 ₴)) · buy orders: 104not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 6 587.57 ₴listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 600.29 ₴sell now to a buy order: 5 600.29 ₴
(you get 4 869.81 ₴)) · buy orders: 61not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on Lis-Skins: from 7 800.02 ₴listings: 6
Steam★ Falchion Knifenet 4 468.16 ₴The Falchion Collectionsells 17 a weeknow 5 138.39 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 6 136.13 ₴sell now to a buy order: 4 966.93 ₴
(you get 4 319.06 ₴)) · buy orders: 1827
sell on Market.CSGO: 4 279.59 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 4 692.54 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 4 544.40 ₴listings: 26
on CS.Money: ~ 4 753.90 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 4 219.48 ₴listings: 48
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 312% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.2630 988.58 → 70 034.19 ₴
AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 212% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.2114 148.51 → 31 268.20 ₴
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−9 221.36 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−8 325.47 ₴historical median
5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.