The Breakout Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −25 969.10₸

Invest 406 715.13₸

Average return 380 746.02₸

ROI −6.4%

Chance of profit 38%

With float: invest at least 914 278.35 ₸, profit at most −533 532.33 ₸

float premium: at least 498 985 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +13 893.13 ₸ по средним

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.4% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −307 230.94 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2

×3

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

308 759.02 ₸

at 102 919.67

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 133 054.76 ₸ +30 135.08 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0155

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Stalker

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

97 956.11 ₸

at 48 978.05

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) — 228 997.33 ₸ +180 019.28 ₸ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 406 715.13 ₸ −25 969.10 (−6.4%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.5% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −56 648 ₸

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2

×4

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

411 678.69 ₸

at 102 919.67

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 133 054.76 ₸ +30 135.08 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0138

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Stalker

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

48 978.05 ₸

at 48 978.05

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) — 228 997.33 ₸ +180 019.28 ₸ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 460 656.75 ₸ +13 893.13 (+3.0%)

What you get 65 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 47%
About break-even 15%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

851 508.74 ₸ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

639 049.75 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

457 655.59 ₸ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

454 455.69 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

590 535.28 ₸ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

317 028.67 ₸ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

402 967.85 ₸ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 998 257.99 ₸ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

586 224.76 ₸ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

384 869.88 ₸ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

425 620.80 ₸ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

624 850.18 ₸ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

67 916.40 ₸ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

61 117.24 ₸ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

67 520.37 ₸ 0.77%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

50 792.90 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

84 466.55 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

37 160.16 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 264.21 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 310.33 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

61 781.26 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

31 234.67 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 446.42 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 975.22 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

71 059.34 ₸ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

78 999.14 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

70 457.91 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

48 674.76 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

96 682.12 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 343.14 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

53 416.74 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

404 154.10 ₸ 0.77%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

49 719.74 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32 055.32 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

81 501.85 ₸ 0.77%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 369.34 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

153 331.43 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

134 323.01 ₸ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

118 730.67 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

105 698.74 ₸ 0.77%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

156 542.92 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

73 315.71 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

56 892.49 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

363 236.32 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

86 397.19 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 656.10 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 361.63 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90 330.40 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

231 828.53 ₸ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

224 833.77 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

189 574.78 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

155 916.25 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

304 474.94 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

131 599.90 ₸ 0.77%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

608 999.98 ₸ 0.77%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

94 499.81 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

112 964.40 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

177 071.66 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

162 427.35 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife

no wear

26 646.90 ₸ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Survival Knife

no wear

25 855.50 ₸ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife

no wear

67 043.96 ₸ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife

no wear

108 035.42 ₸ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 3 12% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 308 759.02 → 697 795.38 ₸

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) × 2 12% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 97 956.11 → 216 483.00 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −40 008.11 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −28 553.69 ₸ historical median

5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 65 outcomes

More

How to build