The Clutch Collection + The CS20 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −9 519.77₴

Invest at least 41 370.39₴

Average return 31 850.62₴

ROI −23.0%

Chance of profit 27%

With float: invest at least 41 370.39 ₴, profit at most −9 519.77 ₴

float premium: at least 23 102 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 3.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −7 400.56 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3

×4

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0082

15 087.87 ₴

at 3 771.97

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 4 732.63 ₴ +960.66 ₴ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0114

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0082

2 633.14 ₴

at 2 633.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 6 816.87 ₴ +4 183.73 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0100–0.0214

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 17 721.01 ₴ +14 129.61 (+79.7%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈3

×3

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

11 315.90 ₴

at 3 771.97

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 4 732.63 ₴ +960.66 ₴ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0108

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

5 266.28 ₴

at 2 633.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 6 816.87 ₴ +4 183.73 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0100–0.0208

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 16 582.18 ₴ +9 475.88 (+57.1%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 565 ₴

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2

×2

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

7 543.93 ₴

at 3 771.97

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 4 732.63 ₴ +960.66 ₴ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0103

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

7 899.43 ₴

at 2 633.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 6 816.87 ₴ +4 183.73 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0100–0.0202

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 15 443.36 ₴ +4 822.14 (+31.2%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 319 ₴

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2

×1

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

3 771.97 ₴

at 3 771.97

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 4 732.63 ₴ +960.66 ₴ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

10 532.57 ₴

at 2 633.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 6 816.87 ₴ +4 183.73 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0100–0.0197

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 14 304.54 ₴ +168.42 (+1.2%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 52%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 079.25 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 272.26 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19 120.45 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 755.99 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 932.46 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 986.19 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 541.76 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 710.03 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 199.85 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

89 332.54 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 857.20 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 653.15 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 067.90 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 590.85 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 278.64 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

28 932.90 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

56 430.15 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

252 214.47 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

89 751.99 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 575.86 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 199.48 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 860.85 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 663.90 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 349.26 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

12 672.43 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

10 906.73 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

9 031.99 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

7 475.64 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

17 873.17 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 920.67 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 055.92 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 800.62 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 013.59 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 660.65 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

9 955.87 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Clutch Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 4 only The Clutch Collection Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Clutch Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12 402.81 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13 907.67 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Clutch Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3358523 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 14 756.78₴ · invest 17 748.01₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3358525 · The Clutch Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 14 756.78₴ · invest 17 748.01₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3358537 · The Fracture Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 14 504.94₴ · invest 17 603.54₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3358538 · The Clutch Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 14 504.94₴ · invest 17 603.54₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3358561 · The Phoenix Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 14 204.74₴ · invest 20 157.14₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3358562 · The Clutch Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 14 204.74₴ · invest 20 157.14₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3358589 · The Vanguard Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 14 185.03₴ · invest 20 176.85₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008639 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3358590 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 14 185.03₴ · invest 20 176.85₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008639 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3358248 · The CS20 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 14 129.61₴ · invest 17 721.01₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3358593 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 14 047.96₴ · invest 20 313.92₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3358594 · The Clutch Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 14 047.96₴ · invest 20 313.92₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3358575 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 13 875.24₴ · invest 20 486.64₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3358576 · The Clutch Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 13 875.24₴ · invest 20 486.64₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3358595 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 13 392.95₴ · invest 20 968.93₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007121 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3358596 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 13 392.95₴ · invest 20 968.93₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007121 instead of 0.008286

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Clutch Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build