The Kilowatt Collection + The CS20 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −529.32$

Invest at least 707.02$

Average return 177.70$

ROI −74.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 707.02 $, profit at most −529.32 $

float premium: at least 365 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −152.76 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×1

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

73.56 $

at 73.56

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Inheritance (Factory New) — 108.62 $ +35.07 $ per item · on the market 158 · buy 0.0000–0.0059

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

231.77 $

at 57.94

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 150.01 $ +92.06 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0100–0.0203

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 305.33 $ −127.63 (−41.8%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈8

×3

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

220.67 $

at 73.56

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Inheritance (Factory New) — 108.62 $ +35.07 $ per item · on the market 158 · buy 0.0000–0.0076

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

115.89 $

at 57.94

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 150.01 $ +92.06 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0100–0.0233

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 336.55 $ −185.49 (−55.1%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈7

×2

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

147.11 $

at 73.56

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Inheritance (Factory New) — 108.62 $ +35.07 $ per item · on the market 158 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

173.83 $

at 57.94

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 150.01 $ +92.06 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0100–0.0216

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 320.94 $ −156.56 (−48.8%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 12%
Losing outcome 75%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

278.86 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

240.00 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

198.75 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

164.50 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

393.30 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

152.29 $ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

177.27 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

545.74 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

264.36 $ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

168.57 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

219.08 $ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

185.93 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

147.53 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

148.05 $ 1.54%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

114.07 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

257.25 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

92.21 $ 1.54%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

98.29 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

301.95 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

96.38 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77.08 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

133.72 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

112.57 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife

no wear

95.16 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Kilowatt Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Clutch Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −147.20 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −130.71 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3358276 · The CS20 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit −127.63$ · invest 305.33$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3358259 · The Fever Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −132.33$ · invest 321.02$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New)
Craft 3358260 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −132.33$ · invest 321.02$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Kilowatt Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build