The Clutch Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −13 205.59₴

Invest at least 44 443.65₴

Average return 31 238.05₴

ROI −29.7%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 44 443.65 ₴, profit at most −13 205.59 ₴

float premium: at least 24 902 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 4.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −9 150.46 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3

×4

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

15 087.87 ₴

at 3 771.97

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 4 732.63 ₴ +960.66 ₴ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0121

Steam

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

4 055.94 ₴

at 4 055.94

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 23 299.46 ₴ +19 243.51 ₴ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0136

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 19 143.81 ₴ +12 094.24 (+63.2%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 387 ₴

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈3

×3

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

11 315.90 ₴

at 3 771.97

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 4 732.63 ₴ +960.66 ₴ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

×2

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

8 111.89 ₴

at 4 055.94

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 23 299.46 ₴ +19 243.51 ₴ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0136

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 19 427.79 ₴ +5 405.14 (+27.8%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈3

×2

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

7 543.93 ₴

at 3 771.97

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 4 732.63 ₴ +960.66 ₴ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

×3

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

12 167.83 ₴

at 4 055.94

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 23 299.46 ₴ +19 243.51 ₴ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 19 711.77 ₴ −1 283.95 (−6.5%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1

×1

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

3 771.97 ₴

at 3 771.97

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 4 732.63 ₴ +960.66 ₴ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

×4

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

16 223.78 ₴

at 4 055.94

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 23 299.46 ₴ +19 243.51 ₴ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 19 995.74 ₴ −7 973.05 (−39.9%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 52%
About break-even 7%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 079.25 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 272.26 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19 120.45 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 755.99 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 932.46 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 986.19 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 541.76 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 710.03 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 199.85 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

89 332.54 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 857.20 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 653.15 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 067.90 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 590.85 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 278.64 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

28 932.90 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

56 430.15 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

252 214.47 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

89 751.99 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 575.86 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 199.48 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 860.85 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 663.90 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 349.26 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

10 293.70 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

11 916.61 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

12 964.62 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

8 262.58 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

12 630.15 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 055.63 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 000.72 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 775.44 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 058.21 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

4 025.02 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Clutch Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Clutch Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 only The Clutch Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Clutch Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +10 457.17 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11 862.05 ₴ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Clutch Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3358095 · The Clutch Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 13 269.86₴ · invest 21 092.02₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009024 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3358096 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 13 269.86₴ · invest 21 092.02₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009024 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3358549 · The Huntsman Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 13 269.45₴ · invest 18 574.17₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3358550 · The Clutch Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 13 269.45₴ · invest 18 574.17₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3358565 · The Prisma Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 13 113.53₴ · invest 19 279.00₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3358566 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 13 113.53₴ · invest 19 279.00₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3358543 · The Gamma Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 13 113.35₴ · invest 21 471.77₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008439 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3358544 · The Clutch Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 13 113.35₴ · invest 21 471.77₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008439 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3358531 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 12 977.01₴ · invest 19 885.38₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009125 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3358532 · The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 12 977.01₴ · invest 19 885.38₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009125 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3358535 · The Fever Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 12 601.27₴ · invest 19 143.81₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3358536 · The Clutch Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 12 601.27₴ · invest 19 143.81₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3358579 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 12 104.93₴ · invest 20 003.55₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3358580 · The Clutch Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 12 104.93₴ · invest 20 003.55₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3358591 · The Wildfire Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 12 094.24₴ · invest 19 143.81₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3358457 · The Clutch Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 12 018.34₴ · invest 21 987.89₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.005081 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3358458 · The Chroma Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 12 018.34₴ · invest 21 987.89₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.005081 instead of 0.008756

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Clutch Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build