The Operation Hydra Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −627 809.66₸

Invest at least 1 421 026.45₸

Average return 793 216.79₸

ROI −44.2%

Chance of profit 12%

With float: invest at least 1 421 026.45 ₸, profit at most −627 809.66 ₸

float premium: at least 764 015 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +265 945.35 ₸ по средним

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 9.8% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −564 178.52 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

255 677.24 ₸

at 255 677.24

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 314 326.82 ₸ +58 649.58 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

367 341.90 ₸

at 91 835.47

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 121 675.30 ₸ +29 839.83 ₸ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 623 019.14 ₸ +170 197.65 (+27.3%)

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 11.8% of the chance

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×4

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

1 022 708.97 ₸

at 255 677.24

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 314 326.82 ₸ +58 649.58 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

91 835.47 ₸

at 91 835.47

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 121 675.30 ₸ +29 839.83 ₸ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 1 114 544.44 ₸ +265 945.35 (+23.9%)

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 11.1% of the chance

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

767 031.73 ₸

at 255 677.24

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 314 326.82 ₸ +58 649.58 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

183 670.95 ₸

at 91 835.47

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 121 675.30 ₸ +29 839.83 ₸ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 950 702.68 ₸ +234 029.45 (+24.6%)

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 10.5% of the chance

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

511 354.48 ₸

at 255 677.24

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 314 326.82 ₸ +58 649.58 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

275 506.42 ₸

at 91 835.47

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 121 675.30 ₸ +29 839.83 ₸ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 786 860.91 ₸ +202 113.55 (+25.7%)

What you get 46 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 47%
About break-even 7%
Above the Steam cap 10%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

746 842.28 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

593 401.46 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

200 131.79 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

277 476.43 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

232 090.43 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

252 275.10 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

760 684.00 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

747 100.36 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

669 220.83 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

633 450.57 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

359 740.15 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 014 907.01 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

565 111.25 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

628 922.69 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

728 680.93 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

481 956.70 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

407 509.28 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

550 424.02 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 881 610.76 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

851 241.61 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

339 188.07 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

305 948.63 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385 603.41 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

522 295.61 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

296 576.19 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 467 695.09 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

348 515.63 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

987 758.28 ₸ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

516 178.41 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

235 449.83 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

853 505.57 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

207 797.99 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 946 499.80 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 266 691.20 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 133 502.53 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 494 200.72 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 682 873.42 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

328 739.88 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

139 151.55 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 298.75 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

159 980.55 ₸ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 only The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +166 856.87 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +168 818.61 ₸ historical median

1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3358710 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 170 197.64₸ · invest 623 019.14₸
outcome without sales no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 46 outcomes

More

How to build