The Recoil Collection + The Falchion Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +826.40₴

Invest 9 216.55₴

Average return 10 042.95₴

ROI +9.0%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 21 452.27 ₴, profit at most −11 409.32 ₴

float premium: at least 11 524 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 287 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

7 534.28 ₴

at 1 883.57

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear) — 2 936.82 ₴ +1 053.25 ₴ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0700–0.0932

Steam

×1

AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1694

1 682.27 ₴

at 1 682.27

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) — 1 954.02 ₴ +271.76 ₴ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.1500–0.1694

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 9 216.55 ₴ +826.40 (+9.0%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 8%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 636.29 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9 089.16 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 133.82 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5 134.45 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10 177.98 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 517.84 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 696.38 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10 160.05 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

29 154.58 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5 196.00 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 489.82 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

17 723.65 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

13 942.20 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

18 813.81 ₴ 3.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 257.02 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

15 380.91 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

17 904.93 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11 819.29 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

49 832.20 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

38 780.47 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 441.88 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 993.18 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 900.10 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 767.16 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

★ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

10 369.69 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

13 467.96 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

8 139.67 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 099.76 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

9 690.09 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 565.11 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 353.28 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9 768.43 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 654.18 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 995.81 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 505.81 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 919.12 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife

no wear

5 138.39 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −902.64 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +458.58 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3358640 · The Recoil Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 856.39₴ · invest 9 764.14₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 551 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075352 instead of 0.076765
Craft 3358642 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 856.39₴ · invest 9 764.14₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 551 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075352 instead of 0.076765
Craft 3358834 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 826.41₴ · invest 9 216.55₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 287 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3359124 · The Recoil Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 817.86₴ · invest 9 217.52₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 597 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085135 instead of 0.076765
Craft 3359126 · The Huntsman Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 817.86₴ · invest 9 217.52₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 597 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085135 instead of 0.076765
Craft 3359080 · The Recoil Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 811.03₴ · invest 9 809.50₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 597 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)
Craft 3359082 · The Horizon Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 811.03₴ · invest 9 809.50₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 597 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

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How to build