The Recoil Collection + The Glove Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +23 540.83₴

Invest 31 956.61₴

Average return 55 497.45₴

ROI +73.7%

Chance of profit 33%

With float: invest at least 72 130.46 ₴, profit at most −16 633.01 ₴

float premium: at least 38 803 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +61 481.52 ₴ по средним

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 5.8% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −19 824.09 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

15 142.30 ₴

at 3 785.58

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 4 833.87 ₴ +1 048.29 ₴ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0106

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

16 814.31 ₴

at 16 814.31

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 25 004.47 ₴ +8 190.16 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0122

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 31 956.61 ₴ +23 540.83 (+73.7%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 7.5% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2

×3

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

11 356.73 ₴

at 3 785.58

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 4 833.87 ₴ +1 048.29 ₴ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0099

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

33 628.62 ₴

at 16 814.31

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 25 004.47 ₴ +8 190.16 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0114

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 44 985.35 ₴ +36 187.73 (+80.4%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2

×2

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

7 571.15 ₴

at 3 785.58

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 4 833.87 ₴ +1 048.29 ₴ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0092

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

50 442.94 ₴

at 16 814.31

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 25 004.47 ₴ +8 190.16 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0106

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 58 014.09 ₴ +48 834.62 (+84.2%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 10.8% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1

×1

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

3 785.58 ₴

at 3 785.58

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 4 833.87 ₴ +1 048.29 ₴ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0087

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

67 257.25 ₴

at 16 814.31

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 25 004.47 ₴ +8 190.16 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0100

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 71 042.82 ₴ +61 481.52 (+86.5%)

What you get 48 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 57%
About break-even 5%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 782.34 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 921.06 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 954.62 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 461.57 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

35 621.91 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 122.47 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 883.35 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32 929.21 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 703.86 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 967.39 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 236.74 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

49 701.24 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 720.62 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

68 166.07 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 063.38 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 399.07 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

57 555.13 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 538.63 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

122 268.57 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 465.63 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 231.01 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 272.02 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 233.47 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 042.59 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 706.51 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 701.06 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 420.16 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 765.85 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

247 670.06 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 978.75 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

99 136.30 ₴ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 806.21 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 630.91 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 662.03 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20 855.63 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

195 360.33 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 331 510.60 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

414 858.71 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

149 965.36 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

971 820.96 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32 993.96 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 965.94 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19 099.32 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 056.44 ₴ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Chroma Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Glove Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +22 096.37 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23 352.02 ₴ historical median

8% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Glove Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3359038 · The Glove Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 23 540.83₴ · invest 31 956.61₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 48 outcomes

More

How to build