StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3361130 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
293.57 $
at 73.39
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 74.57 $+1.18 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 115 of 115 · from 55.30 $ (float 0.7201) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Field-Tested
any lot
195.98 $
at 195.98
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 206.02 $+10.04 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.760000wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 21Lis-Skins: suitable 92 of 92 · from 149.90 $ (float 0.2101) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs489.55 $
−308.35
(−63.0%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
220.18 $
at 73.39
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 74.57 $+1.18 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 115 of 115 · from 55.30 $ (float 0.7201) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Field-Tested
any lot
391.95 $
at 195.98
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 206.02 $+10.04 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.760000wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 21Lis-Skins: suitable 92 of 92 · from 149.90 $ (float 0.2101) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs612.13 $
−341.52
(−55.8%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
146.79 $
at 73.39
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 74.57 $+1.18 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 115 of 115 · from 55.30 $ (float 0.7201) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Field-Tested
any lot
391.95 $
at 195.98
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 206.02 $+10.04 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.760000wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 21Lis-Skins: suitable 92 of 92 · from 149.90 $ (float 0.2101) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov
Battle-Scarred
any lot
207.00 $
at 207.00
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) — 195.98 $cheaper by 11.02 $ · on the market 21 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.9200on the market 7 · good ≈ 7Lis-Skins: suitable 23 of 23 · from 169.47 $ (float 0.5602) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs745.74 $
−385.70
(−51.7%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈21≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
73.39 $
at 73.39
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 74.57 $+1.18 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 115 of 115 · from 55.30 $ (float 0.7201) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Field-Tested
any lot
391.95 $
at 195.98
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 206.02 $+10.04 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.760000wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 21Lis-Skins: suitable 92 of 92 · from 149.90 $ (float 0.2101) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov
Battle-Scarred
any lot
414.00 $
at 207.00
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) — 195.98 $cheaper by 11.02 $ · on the market 21 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.9200on the market 7 · good ≈ 7Lis-Skins: suitable 23 of 23 · from 169.47 $ (float 0.5602) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)sell now to a buy order: 319.57 $
(you get 277.89 $)) · buy orders: 60Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 226.32 $sell now to a buy order: 226.32 $
(you get 196.80 $)) · buy orders: 113
sell on Market.CSGO: 231.32 $ to your card
cheapest lot 253.64 · lots 4CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 241.68 $listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 115.64 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than MW: 146.74 $ versus 132.99 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 146.74 $sell now to a buy order: 146.74 $
(you get 127.60 $)) · buy orders: 97
sell on Market.CSGO: 161.53 $ to your card
cheapest lot 177.12 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 144.79 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 149.68 $listings: 6
BS costs more than WW: 116.74 $ versus 89.25 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 116.74 $sell now to a buy order: 116.74 $
(you get 101.51 $)) · buy orders: 81
sell on Market.CSGO: 103.15 $ to your card
cheapest lot 113.11 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 142.30 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 163.64 $sell now to a buy order: 163.64 $
(you get 142.30 $)) · buy orders: 104
sell on Market.CSGO: 190.30 $ to your card
cheapest lot 208.67 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 180.00 $listings: 8Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 60.09 $sell now to a buy order: 60.09 $
(you get 52.25 $)) · buy orders: 102
sell on Market.CSGO: 77.50 $ to your card
cheapest lot 84.98 · lots 7CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 91.40 $ versus 79.06 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 91.40 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 93.14 $
(you get 80.99 $)) · buy orders: 124Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 75.69 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 77.22 $listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 132.12 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 171.49 $ versus 151.94 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 171.49 $sell now to a buy order: 171.49 $
(you get 149.12 $)) · buy orders: 60not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)net 90.20 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 148.41 $ versus 103.73 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 148.41 $sell now to a buy order: 148.41 $
(you get 129.05 $)) · buy orders: 77
sell on Market.CSGO: 143.41 $ to your card
cheapest lot 157.25 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 103.11 $listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 65.64 $sell now to a buy order: 65.64 $
(you get 57.07 $)) · buy orders: 83not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 74.51 $sell now to a buy order: 74.51 $
(you get 64.79 $)) · buy orders: 100
sell on Market.CSGO: 89.24 $ to your card
cheapest lot 97.85 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 78.59 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 81.24 $listings: 3
BS costs more than FT: 80.02 $ versus 76.02 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 80.02 $sell now to a buy order: 80.02 $
(you get 69.58 $)) · buy orders: 48Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 148.89 $sell now to a buy order: 148.89 $
(you get 129.47 $)) · buy orders: 261
sell on Market.CSGO: 152.96 $ to your card
cheapest lot 167.72 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 132.04 $listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 148.48 $
on Lis-Skins: from 144.91 $listings: 25
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)The Breakout Collectionsell now to a buy order: 2 026.01 $
(you get 1 761.75 $)) · buy orders: 144not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 1 411.40 $sell now to a buy order: 1 411.40 $
(you get 1 227.30 $)) · buy orders: 331
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 495.83 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 640.17 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 1 168.04 $listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 1 172.48 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 355.66 $listings: 9
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 704.85 $sell now to a buy order: 704.85 $
(you get 612.91 $)) · buy orders: 154Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 712.86 $listings: 10
on Lis-Skins: from 674.38 $listings: 8
BS costs more than FT: 675.17 $ versus 648.54 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 675.17 $sell now to a buy order: 675.17 $
(you get 587.10 $)) · buy orders: 246
sell on Market.CSGO: 534.55 $ to your card
cheapest lot 586.13 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 490.00 $listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 582.55 $
on Lis-Skins: from 523.88 $listings: 16
BS costs more than FT: 903.04 $ versus 811.64 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 903.04 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 943.93 $
(you get 820.81 $)) · buy orders: 360
sell on Market.CSGO: 742.58 $ to your card
cheapest lot 814.24 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 763.00 $listings: 13
on Lis-Skins: from 827.95 $listings: 8
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 406.29 $sell now to a buy order: 406.29 $
(you get 353.29 $)) · buy orders: 357Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 464.24 $listings: 9
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 401.33 $sell now to a buy order: 401.33 $
(you get 348.98 $)) · buy orders: 133Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 455.01 $
on Lis-Skins: from 446.25 $listings: 4
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 569.36 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 580.98 $listings 6 · you get 569.36 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 670.13 $
(you get 582.72 $)) · buy orders: 149
sell on Market.CSGO: 832.92 $ to your card
cheapest lot 913.28 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 580.98 $listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 576.21 $
on Lis-Skins: from 630.03 $listings: 17
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 476.29 $sell now to a buy order: 476.29 $
(you get 414.17 $)) · buy orders: 141
sell on Market.CSGO: 506.72 $ to your card
cheapest lot 555.62 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 470.00 $listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 483.45 $
on Lis-Skins: from 509.53 $listings: 10
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 412.32 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 420.73 $listings 3 · you get 412.32 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 437.76 $
(you get 380.66 $)) · buy orders: 162
sell on Market.CSGO: 573.89 $ to your card
cheapest lot 629.27 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 420.73 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 456.88 $
on Lis-Skins: from 462.45 $listings: 9
BS costs more than FT: 600.37 $ versus 523.74 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 600.37 $sell now to a buy order: 600.37 $
(you get 522.06 $)) · buy orders: 169not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 408.00 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 429.01 $listings: 13
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 411.41 $sell now to a buy order: 411.41 $
(you get 357.75 $)) · buy orders: 228
sell on Market.CSGO: 476.74 $ to your card
cheapest lot 522.74 · lots 4CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 458.68 $
on Lis-Skins: from 444.74 $listings: 14
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knifenet 984.12 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 004.20 $listings 17 · you get 984.12 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 420.30 $
(you get 1 235.04 $)) · buy orders: 565
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 076.12 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 179.96 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 1 004.20 $listings: 17
on CS.Money: ~ 1 180.34 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 043.00 $listings: 34
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 4100% of the wear range fits×1.01293.57 → 296.98 $
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.08195.98 → 210.95 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.952000000
outcomes come out up to 0.076160, 0.248000, 0.952000, 0.952000, 0.952000, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.000000, 0.076160, 0.248000, 0.952000, 0.952000, 0.952000, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−327.95 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−310.78 $historical median
2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
5 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3361730
· The Falchion Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −297.96$
· invest 431.33$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3361737
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −297.96$
· invest 431.33$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3362104
· The Falchion Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −298.19$
· invest 431.56$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3362111
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −298.19$
· invest 431.56$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3361134
· The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −308.35$
· invest 489.55$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.