The Breakout Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −262.66$

Invest 848.90$

Average return 586.24$

ROI −30.9%

Chance of profit 24%

With float: invest at least 1 909.07 $, profit at most −1 322.83 $

float premium: at least 778 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −537.70 $

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

660.10 $

at 220.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 400.00 $ +179.97 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.0000–0.0073

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

188.79 $

at 94.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) — 185.94 $ +91.54 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0700–0.1059

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 848.90 $ −262.66 (−30.9%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

440.07 $

at 220.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 400.00 $ +179.97 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.0000–0.0115

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

94.40 $

at 94.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) — 185.94 $ +91.54 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0700–0.1108

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

424.91 $

at 212.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo (Factory New) — 448.28 $ +235.83 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0501

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 959.38 $ −451.53 (−47.1%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

218.89 $

at 218.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 235.13 $ +16.24 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.1397

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

660.10 $

at 220.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 400.00 $ +179.97 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.0000–0.0095

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

94.40 $

at 94.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) — 185.94 $ +91.54 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0700–0.1085

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 973.40 $ −308.76 (−31.7%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 24%
Losing outcome 67%
Above the Steam cap 9%

Order

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

1 923.87 $ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

1 421.72 $ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

827.60 $ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

437.96 $ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

640.47 $ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

1 510.98 $ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

857.61 $ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

719.00 $ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

535.62 $ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

676.79 $ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

1 004.20 $ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

1 505.86 $ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.033599

823.89 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 900.00 $ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

1 552.58 $ 1.33%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 081.56 $ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

854.96 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

268.67 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.033599

107.51 $ 1.33%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

188.68 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

220.52 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

116.87 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

101.00 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

115.62 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.033599

80.73 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

189.84 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

112.98 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

68.38 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

67.11 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

206.00 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.033599

105.76 $ 1.33%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

263.39 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

204.13 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

136.71 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

87.81 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

292.68 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.033599

105.24 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

177.16 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

229.74 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

134.95 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

98.01 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 660.10 → 1 491.84 $

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 188.79 → 417.23 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000, 0.005599, 0.033599, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.069999, 0.034999, 0.005599, 0.033599, 0.045499, 0.059499, 0.069999, 0.034999, 0.005599, 0.033599, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.069999, 0.034999, 0.005599, 0.033599, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.069999, 0.034999, 0.005599, 0.033599, 0.045499, 0.059499, 0.069999, 0.034999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −296.44 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −270.09 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Operation Riptide Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build