The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −11 263.21₴

Invest 15 290.91₴

Average return 4 027.70₴

ROI −73.7%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest 15 418.71 ₴, profit −11 391.01 ₴

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈16

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Well-Worn

any lot

3 094.23 ₴

at 3 094.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 3 388.89 ₴ +294.66 ₴ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

any lot

10 005.92 ₴

at 3 335.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 3 388.89 ₴ +53.59 ₴ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Battle-Scarred

any lot

2 190.76 ₴

at 2 190.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Battle-Scarred) — 4 289.78 ₴ +2 099.02 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.4500–0.5973

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 15 290.91 ₴ −11 263.21 (−73.7%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 94%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.071200

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

best

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.232500

10 284.81 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.890000

6 043.49 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.890000

4 055.79 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.890000

7 436.47 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

2 730.83 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

3 593.01 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

6 904.70 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

4 713.89 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

2 982.73 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

3 385.84 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

3 454.65 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

6 766.01 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.071200

9 343.78 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.232500

6 323.84 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.890000

3 918.71 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.890000

3 256.19 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.890000

5 424.44 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

2 392.92 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

2 339.51 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

3 999.07 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

2 228.58 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

2 255.34 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

2 612.83 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

2 228.69 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife

no wear

5 337.88 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.01 3 094.23 → 3 133.22 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 3 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 10 005.92 → 10 055.95 ₴

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.02 2 190.76 → 2 229.32 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.890000000

outcomes come out up to 0.071200, 0.232500, 0.890000, 0.890000, 0.890000, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.000000, 0.071200, 0.232500, 0.890000, 0.890000, 0.890000, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −11 731.04 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −11 321.47 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3363335 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −10 535.30₴ · invest 14 563.01₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3363339 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit −10 535.30₴ · invest 14 563.01₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3363383 · The Prisma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −10 564.95₴ · invest 15 899.26₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3363389 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −10 564.95₴ · invest 15 899.26₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3363259 · The Fever Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −10 691.86₴ · invest 15 576.69₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3363265 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −10 691.86₴ · invest 15 576.69₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3363327 · The Huntsman Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −10 697.29₴ · invest 15 019.82₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3363331 · The Falchion Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −10 697.29₴ · invest 15 019.82₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3363371 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −10 985.85₴ · invest 16 320.16₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3363377 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit −10 985.85₴ · invest 16 320.16₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3363279 · The Gallery Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −11 263.21₴ · invest 15 290.91₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build