The Shadow Collection
+ The Operation Riptide Collection
StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3365046 · ways to build: 3StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.9374
216.44 $
at 108.22
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 205.01 $+96.79 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.9374
Lis-Skins: suitable 54 of 58 · from 64.64 $ (float 0.5598) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs455.45 $
−318.11
(−69.8%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.9% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.9374
324.66 $
at 108.22
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 205.01 $+96.79 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.9374
Lis-Skins: suitable 54 of 58 · from 64.64 $ (float 0.5598) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs484.00 $
−372.41
(−76.9%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.9374
432.88 $
at 108.22
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 205.01 $+96.79 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.9374
Steam★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Fade (Minimal Wear)sell now to a buy order: 83.40 $
(you get 72.52 $)) · buy orders: 28Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
FT costs more than MW: 131.26 $ versus 129.66 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 131.26 $sell now to a buy order: 131.26 $
(you get 114.14 $)) · buy orders: 70Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 148.29 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 153.30 $listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 52.14 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 59.96 $sell now to a buy order: 59.96 $
(you get 52.14 $)) · buy orders: 100
sell on Market.CSGO: 73.40 $ to your card
cheapest lot 80.48 · lots 4CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than MW: 89.41 $ versus 69.90 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 89.41 $sell now to a buy order: 89.41 $
(you get 77.75 $)) · buy orders: 111
sell on Market.CSGO: 85.51 $ to your card
cheapest lot 93.76 · lots 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 118.19 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 135.92 $sell now to a buy order: 135.92 $
(you get 118.19 $)) · buy orders: 97not listed on Market.CSGO right nowLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 64.50 $sell now to a buy order: 64.50 $
(you get 56.09 $)) · buy orders: 135
sell on Market.CSGO: 59.29 $ to your card
cheapest lot 65.01 · lots 6CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 60.92 $listings: 3
BS costs more than FT: 49.66 $ versus 45.64 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 49.66 $sell now to a buy order: 49.66 $
(you get 43.18 $)) · buy orders: 132
sell on Market.CSGO: 56.57 $ to your card
cheapest lot 62.03 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 70.00 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 66.93 $listings: 4
Steam★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 71.80 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 82.57 $sell now to a buy order: 82.57 $
(you get 71.80 $)) · buy orders: 116
sell on Market.CSGO: 109.88 $ to your card
cheapest lot 120.48 · lots 3CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 110.08 $listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Night (Battle-Scarred)net 58.33 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 67.08 $sell now to a buy order: 67.08 $
(you get 58.33 $)) · buy orders: 75not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 67.66 $ versus 48.62 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 67.66 $sell now to a buy order: 67.66 $
(you get 58.83 $)) · buy orders: 101not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 53.11 $listings: 5Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 62.13 $ versus 40.84 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 62.13 $sell now to a buy order: 62.13 $
(you get 54.03 $)) · buy orders: 114
sell on Market.CSGO: 58.90 $ to your card
cheapest lot 64.59 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 75.10 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 68.25 $listings: 3
BS costs more than MW: 85.13 $ versus 54.54 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 85.13 $sell now to a buy order: 85.13 $
(you get 74.03 $)) · buy orders: 96Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 98.98 $sell now to a buy order: 98.98 $
(you get 86.07 $)) · buy orders: 226
sell on Market.CSGO: 178.22 $ to your card
cheapest lot 195.42 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 81.99 $listings: 9
on Lis-Skins: from 91.54 $listings: 8
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 1 475.74 $The Operation Riptide Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 505.86 $listings 5 · you get 1 475.74 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 1 930.00 $ versus 1 505.86 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 2 019.55 $
(you get 1 756.13 $)) · buy orders: 66
sell on Market.CSGO: 2 103.38 $ to your card
cheapest lot 2 306.33 · lots 4price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 1 930.00 $listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Well-Worn)The Operation Riptide Collectionsell now to a buy order: 635.15 $
(you get 552.30 $)) · buy orders: 75not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 599.59 $sell now to a buy order: 599.59 $
(you get 521.39 $)) · buy orders: 284
sell on Market.CSGO: 509.71 $ to your card
cheapest lot 558.89 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 492.82 $listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 510.66 $
on Lis-Skins: from 531.94 $listings: 16
BS costs more than WW: 834.02 $ versus 812.95 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 834.02 $sell now to a buy order: 834.02 $
(you get 725.24 $)) · buy orders: 164
sell on Market.CSGO: 677.28 $ to your card
cheapest lot 742.63 · lots 16
on CSFloat: from 645.97 $listings: 19
on CS.Money: ~ 695.08 $
on Lis-Skins: from 632.43 $listings: 37
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 565.10 $sell now to a buy order: 565.10 $
(you get 491.39 $)) · buy orders: 102
sell on Market.CSGO: 552.28 $ to your card
cheapest lot 605.57 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 514.68 $listings: 9
on CS.Money: ~ 551.42 $
on Lis-Skins: from 516.31 $listings: 27
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)net 485.74 $The Operation Riptide Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 511.31 $listings 5 · you get 485.74 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 588.97 $ versus 511.31 $ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 609.60 $
(you get 530.08 $)) · buy orders: 220
sell on Market.CSGO: 537.14 $ to your card
cheapest lot 588.97 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 509.27 $
on Lis-Skins: from 547.44 $listings: 7
MW costs more than FN: 411.89 $ versus 268.67 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 411.89 $sell now to a buy order: 411.89 $
(you get 358.17 $)) · buy orders: 160not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 349.89 $listings: 3
WW costs more than FT: 99.43 $ versus 92.41 $ — calculated at the price of FTmonth average 99.43 $, sold 10 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 94.23 $
(you get 81.94 $)) · buy orders: 71not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 114.70 $ versus 111.81 $ — calculated at the price of FTnow 114.70 $ — cheaper than the month average 118.27 $sell now to a buy order: 116.11 $
(you get 100.97 $)) · buy orders: 116
sell on Market.CSGO: 102.97 $ to your card
cheapest lot 112.90 · lots 9
on CS.Money: ~ 88.61 $
on Lis-Skins: from 107.58 $listings: 13
BS costs more than FT: 118.10 $ versus 108.82 $ — calculated at the price of FTnow 118.10 $ — cheaper than the month average 120.98 $sell now to a buy order: 116.74 $
(you get 101.51 $)) · buy orders: 122
sell on Market.CSGO: 111.94 $ to your card
cheapest lot 122.75 · lots 9
on CSFloat: from 104.88 $listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 101.29 $listings: 34
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 61.57 $The Operation Riptide Collectionsells 7 a weekBS costs more than WW: 74.79 $ versus 70.80 $ — calculated at the price of WWnow 74.79 $ — cheaper than the month average 77.62 $sell now to a buy order: 72.94 $
(you get 63.43 $)) · buy orders: 116
sell on Market.CSGO: 75.35 $ to your card
cheapest lot 82.62 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 70.08 $listings: 8
on Lis-Skins: from 63.72 $listings: 30
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 74.98 $sell now to a buy order: 74.98 $
(you get 65.20 $)) · buy orders: 51Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 75.39 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 67.63 $Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
MW costs more than FN: 193.32 $ versus 115.62 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 193.32 $sell now to a buy order: 193.32 $
(you get 168.10 $)) · buy orders: 123Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 186.00 $listings: 4
WW costs more than FT: 62.11 $ versus 50.01 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 62.11 $sell now to a buy order: 62.11 $
(you get 54.01 $)) · buy orders: 76
sell on Market.CSGO: 71.36 $ to your card
cheapest lot 78.25 · lots 9
on CSFloat: from 72.00 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 50.30 $
on Lis-Skins: from 73.92 $listings: 9
Steam★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 57.51 $The Operation Riptide Collectionsells 10 a weeknow 66.14 $ — cheaper than the month average 75.30 $sell now to a buy order: 68.94 $
(you get 59.95 $)) · buy orders: 117
sell on Market.CSGO: 63.32 $ to your card
cheapest lot 69.43 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 58.29 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 51.38 $
on Lis-Skins: from 61.66 $listings: 25
Steam★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)net 51.94 $The Operation Riptide Collectionsells 6 a weeknow 59.73 $ — cheaper than the month average 67.49 $sell now to a buy order: 62.11 $
(you get 54.01 $)) · buy orders: 117
sell on Market.CSGO: 66.46 $ to your card
cheapest lot 72.87 · lots 8CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 56.52 $
on Lis-Skins: from 54.34 $listings: 33
BS costs more than WW: 49.56 $ versus 49.24 $ — calculated at the price of WWmonth average 49.56 $, sold 24 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 48.48 $
(you get 42.16 $)) · buy orders: 132
sell on Market.CSGO: 46.50 $ to your card
cheapest lot 50.99 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 100.00 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 42.86 $
on Lis-Skins: from 42.09 $listings: 31
BS costs more than FT: 59.74 $ versus 47.40 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 59.74 $sell now to a buy order: 59.74 $
(you get 51.95 $)) · buy orders: 104
sell on Market.CSGO: 52.22 $ to your card
cheapest lot 57.25 · lots 7CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 56.36 $listings: 7
MW costs more than FN: 389.03 $ versus 206.00 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 389.03 $sell now to a buy order: 389.03 $
(you get 338.29 $)) · buy orders: 157Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 335.20 $listings: 8
rarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 73.51 $sell now to a buy order: 73.51 $
(you get 63.92 $)) · buy orders: 79
sell on Market.CSGO: 82.11 $ to your card
cheapest lot 90.03 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 76.99 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 84.42 $listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 81.83 $The Operation Riptide Collectionsells 11 a weeknow 94.11 $ — cheaper than the month average 98.86 $sell now to a buy order: 95.33 $
(you get 82.89 $)) · buy orders: 180
sell on Market.CSGO: 95.91 $ to your card
cheapest lot 105.17 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 111.96 $listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 69.34 $
on Lis-Skins: from 95.89 $listings: 11
BS costs more than WW: 89.96 $ versus 76.03 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 89.96 $sell now to a buy order: 89.96 $
(you get 78.23 $)) · buy orders: 143
sell on Market.CSGO: 90.65 $ to your card
cheapest lot 99.40 · lots 13CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 85.63 $listings: 15
month average 65.00 $, sold 13 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 64.52 $
(you get 56.11 $)) · buy orders: 81
sell on Market.CSGO: 61.23 $ to your card
cheapest lot 67.14 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 65.10 $listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 57.02 $
on Lis-Skins: from 55.54 $listings: 42
BS costs more than FT: 67.25 $ versus 66.49 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 67.25 $sell now to a buy order: 67.25 $
(you get 58.48 $)) · buy orders: 27Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 196.77 $The Operation Riptide Collectionsells 2 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 226.29 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 288.16 $
(you get 250.57 $)) · buy orders: 109Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 336.11 $listings: 10
rarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 61.82 $sell now to a buy order: 61.82 $
(you get 53.75 $)) · buy orders: 82
sell on Market.CSGO: 84.95 $ to your card
cheapest lot 93.15 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 98.43 $listings: 6
BS costs more than FT: 110.46 $ versus 101.40 $ — calculated at the price of FTmonth average 110.46 $, sold 17 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 96.26 $
(you get 83.70 $)) · buy orders: 93
sell on Market.CSGO: 92.89 $ to your card
cheapest lot 101.85 · lots 9CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 107.62 $listings: 9
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)net 73.91 $The Operation Riptide Collectionsells 3 a weekrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the current 85.00 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 114.83 $
(you get 99.85 $)) · buy orders: 93
sell on Market.CSGO: 135.76 $ to your card
cheapest lot 148.86 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 102.00 $listings: 8
on CS.Money: ~ 89.34 $
on Lis-Skins: from 133.68 $listings: 4
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 56.30 $The Operation Riptide Collectionsells 4 a weekBS costs more than FT: 69.00 $ versus 64.75 $ — calculated at the price of FTnow 69.00 $ — cheaper than the month average 75.12 $sell now to a buy order: 71.33 $
(you get 62.03 $)) · buy orders: 114
sell on Market.CSGO: 65.52 $ to your card
cheapest lot 71.84 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 59.00 $listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 63.93 $
on Lis-Skins: from 62.53 $listings: 45
BS costs more than WW: 82.58 $ versus 45.86 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 82.58 $sell now to a buy order: 82.58 $
(you get 71.81 $)) · buy orders: 60
sell on Market.CSGO: 83.82 $ to your card
cheapest lot 91.91 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 79.99 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 64.56 $
on Lis-Skins: from 96.73 $listings: 3
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) × 289% of the wear range fits×1.05216.44 → 227.63 $
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) × 389% of the wear range fits×1.04239.02 → 249.56 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−334.85 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−320.34 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Riptide Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3365047
· The Shadow Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −318.78$
· invest 455.45$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.899999 instead of 0.937499; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.899999 instead of 0.937499
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.