StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3366047 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Battle-Scarred
any lot
238.52 $
at 59.63
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.74 $+153.11 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.4500–1.0000
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) — 326.95 $+214.97 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.542857wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 14 · good ≈ 14Lis-Skins: suitable 51 of 51 · from 88.79 $ (float 0.2102) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs350.50 $
−222.13
(−63.4%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.6% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Battle-Scarred
any lot
178.89 $
at 59.63
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.74 $+153.11 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.4500–1.0000
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) — 326.95 $+214.97 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.542857wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 14 · good ≈ 14Lis-Skins: suitable 51 of 51 · from 88.79 $ (float 0.2102) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir
Battle-Scarred
any lot
128.55 $
at 128.55
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) — 326.95 $+198.40 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.7000on the market 6 · good ≈ 6Lis-Skins: suitable 14 of 14 · from 93.57 $ (float 0.5760) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs419.43 $
−247.69
(−59.1%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 8.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Battle-Scarred
any lot
119.26 $
at 59.63
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.74 $+153.11 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.4500–1.0000
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) — 326.95 $+214.97 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.542857wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 14 · good ≈ 14Lis-Skins: suitable 51 of 51 · from 88.79 $ (float 0.2102) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir
Battle-Scarred
any lot
257.11 $
at 128.55
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) — 326.95 $+198.40 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.7000on the market 6 · good ≈ 6Lis-Skins: suitable 14 of 14 · from 93.57 $ (float 0.5760) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs488.35 $
−273.26
(−56.0%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Battle-Scarred
any lot
59.63 $
at 59.63
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.74 $+153.11 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.4500–1.0000
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) — 326.95 $+214.97 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.542857wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 14 · good ≈ 14Lis-Skins: suitable 51 of 51 · from 88.79 $ (float 0.2102) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir
Battle-Scarred
any lot
385.66 $
at 128.55
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) — 326.95 $+198.40 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.7000on the market 6 · good ≈ 6Lis-Skins: suitable 14 of 14 · from 93.57 $ (float 0.5760) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 268.44 $sell now to a buy order: 268.44 $
(you get 233.42 $)) · buy orders: 53Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 359.00 $listings: 5
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 189.25 $sell now to a buy order: 189.25 $
(you get 164.56 $)) · buy orders: 87
sell on Market.CSGO: 205.57 $ to your card
cheapest lot 225.41 · lots 4CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 214.78 $listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 90.88 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 104.51 $sell now to a buy order: 104.51 $
(you get 90.88 $)) · buy orders: 91
sell on Market.CSGO: 231.70 $ to your card
cheapest lot 254.06 · lots 5Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 86.29 $ versus 85.11 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 86.29 $sell now to a buy order: 86.29 $
(you get 75.03 $)) · buy orders: 74
sell on Market.CSGO: 96.94 $ to your card
cheapest lot 106.29 · lots 6CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 106.51 $listings: 6
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 167.39 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 212.37 $ versus 192.50 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 212.37 $sell now to a buy order: 212.37 $
(you get 184.67 $)) · buy orders: 110Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 180.21 $listings: 7Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 56.70 $sell now to a buy order: 56.70 $
(you get 49.31 $)) · buy orders: 123not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 63.90 $listings: 4
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)sell now to a buy order: 55.87 $
(you get 48.59 $)) · buy orders: 98Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 97.69 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 134.95 $ versus 112.34 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 134.95 $sell now to a buy order: 134.95 $
(you get 117.35 $)) · buy orders: 131Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: price does not match Steam and is not shown
on CS.Money: ~ 183.90 $Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)sell now to a buy order: 75.98 $
(you get 66.07 $)) · buy orders: 95Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 59.77 $sell now to a buy order: 59.77 $
(you get 51.98 $)) · buy orders: 93not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 48.74 $ versus 45.35 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 48.74 $sell now to a buy order: 48.74 $
(you get 42.38 $)) · buy orders: 53Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 95.00 $ versus 65.86 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 95.00 $sell now to a buy order: 95.00 $
(you get 82.61 $)) · buy orders: 70
sell on Market.CSGO: 90.51 $ to your card
cheapest lot 99.24 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 91.00 $listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 79.24 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 91.13 $sell now to a buy order: 91.13 $
(you get 79.24 $)) · buy orders: 193
sell on Market.CSGO: 119.48 $ to your card
cheapest lot 131.01 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 116.61 $listings: 35
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 2 007.06 $The Spectrum Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 2 048.02 $listings 5 · you get 2 007.06 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 2 289.12 $ versus 2 048.02 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 2 026.01 $
(you get 1 761.75 $)) · buy orders: 114Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 2 289.12 $listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 1 176.00 $The Spectrum Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 200.00 $listings 3 · you get 1 176.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 1 609.44 $ versus 1 200.00 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 1 647.82 $
(you get 1 432.89 $)) · buy orders: 113
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 720.08 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 886.06 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 1 609.44 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 1 750.66 $listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 1 226.58 $The Spectrum Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 1 291.14 $listings 5 · you get 1 226.58 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 1 296.79 $ versus 1 291.14 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 1 154.34 $
(you get 1 003.77 $)) · buy orders: 111
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 182.67 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 296.79 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 1 184.65 $listings: 4
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 618.74 $The Spectrum Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 631.37 $listings 3 · you get 618.74 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 528.79 $
(you get 459.81 $)) · buy orders: 31
sell on Market.CSGO: 759.13 $ to your card
cheapest lot 832.38 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 631.37 $listings: 3Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 624.37 $sell now to a buy order: 624.37 $
(you get 542.93 $)) · buy orders: 352
sell on Market.CSGO: 500.99 $ to your card
cheapest lot 549.33 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 450.00 $listings: 15
on CS.Money: ~ 502.71 $
on Lis-Skins: from 489.06 $listings: 41
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 535.52 $sell now to a buy order: 535.52 $
(you get 465.67 $)) · buy orders: 109
sell on Market.CSGO: 482.34 $ to your card
cheapest lot 528.88 · lots 7CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 488.88 $listings: 22
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 397.42 $sell now to a buy order: 397.42 $
(you get 345.58 $)) · buy orders: 127not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
MW costs more than FN: 252.75 $ versus 218.25 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 252.75 $sell now to a buy order: 252.75 $
(you get 219.78 $)) · buy orders: 59Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 355.00 $listings: 3
MW costs more than FN: 186.99 $ versus 180.16 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 186.99 $sell now to a buy order: 186.99 $
(you get 162.60 $)) · buy orders: 75
sell on Market.CSGO: 239.02 $ to your card
cheapest lot 262.08 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 78.03 $sell now to a buy order: 78.03 $
(you get 67.85 $)) · buy orders: 39Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 71.23 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 4 a weekmonth average 81.92 $, sold 13 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 69.61 $
(you get 60.53 $)) · buy orders: 163
sell on Market.CSGO: 57.20 $ to your card
cheapest lot 62.72 · lots 25
on CSFloat: from 57.00 $listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 61.84 $
on Lis-Skins: from 59.94 $listings: 60
BS costs more than WW: 103.47 $ versus 80.60 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 103.47 $sell now to a buy order: 103.47 $
(you get 89.97 $)) · buy orders: 68
sell on Market.CSGO: 116.52 $ to your card
cheapest lot 127.76 · lots 4CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 73.84 $
on Lis-Skins: from 116.66 $listings: 6
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 132.70 $sell now to a buy order: 132.70 $
(you get 115.39 $)) · buy orders: 152not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)The Spectrum Collectionsell now to a buy order: 123.31 $
(you get 107.22 $)) · buy orders: 140not listed on Market.CSGO right nowLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
MW costs more than FN: 113.75 $ versus 97.75 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 113.75 $sell now to a buy order: 113.75 $
(you get 98.92 $)) · buy orders: 103Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 112.51 $listings: 4
BS costs more than FT: 88.17 $ versus 68.47 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 88.17 $sell now to a buy order: 88.17 $
(you get 76.67 $)) · buy orders: 86Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
month average 62.58 $, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 56.28 $
(you get 48.94 $)) · buy orders: 214
sell on Market.CSGO: 52.88 $ to your card
cheapest lot 57.98 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 53.32 $listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 52.29 $
on Lis-Skins: from 50.05 $listings: 24
BS costs more than FT: 70.57 $ versus 67.36 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 70.57 $sell now to a buy order: 70.57 $
(you get 61.37 $)) · buy orders: 105
sell on Market.CSGO: 77.79 $ to your card
cheapest lot 85.29 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 69.00 $listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 80.30 $listings: 3
MW costs more than FN: 404.90 $ versus 310.18 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 404.90 $sell now to a buy order: 404.90 $
(you get 352.09 $)) · buy orders: 142Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: price does not match Steam and is not shown
MW costs more than FN: 643.30 $ versus 223.57 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the lowest sale 643.30 $sell now to a buy order: 227.92 $
(you get 198.19 $)) · buy orders: 145Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 173.04 $The Spectrum Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 182.15 $listings 4 · you get 173.04 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 225.39 $ versus 182.15 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 164.11 $
(you get 142.70 $)) · buy orders: 111
sell on Market.CSGO: 205.55 $ to your card
cheapest lot 225.39 · lots 4CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 214.76 $listings: 3
BS costs more than WW: 85.57 $ versus 70.91 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 85.57 $sell now to a buy order: 85.57 $
(you get 74.41 $)) · buy orders: 32Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 104.80 $
BS costs more than WW: 72.77 $ versus 71.43 $ — calculated at the price of WWnow 72.77 $ — cheaper than the month average 73.28 $sell now to a buy order: 62.53 $
(you get 54.37 $)) · buy orders: 159
sell on Market.CSGO: 57.77 $ to your card
cheapest lot 63.35 · lots 15
on CSFloat: from 60.80 $listings: 7
on CS.Money: ~ 56.20 $
on Lis-Skins: from 54.70 $listings: 25
BS costs more than WW: 107.76 $ versus 94.09 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 107.76 $sell now to a buy order: 107.76 $
(you get 93.70 $)) · buy orders: 102Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 82.55 $listings: 5Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 366.13 $The Spectrum Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 373.61 $listings 6 · you get 366.13 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 480.00 $ versus 373.61 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 364.65 $
(you get 317.08 $)) · buy orders: 183Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 480.00 $listings: 6
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 220.87 $The Spectrum Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 232.50 $listings 3 · you get 220.87 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 511.31 $ versus 232.50 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 243.56 $
(you get 211.79 $)) · buy orders: 327
sell on Market.CSGO: 466.31 $ to your card
cheapest lot 511.31 · lots 3Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 124.19 $sell now to a buy order: 124.19 $
(you get 107.99 $)) · buy orders: 99Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 217.00 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 168.58 $Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 136.61 $ versus 83.94 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 136.61 $sell now to a buy order: 136.61 $
(you get 118.79 $)) · buy orders: 52not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
month average 74.55 $, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 61.85 $
(you get 53.78 $)) · buy orders: 132
sell on Market.CSGO: 69.89 $ to your card
cheapest lot 76.63 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 68.21 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 60.01 $
on Lis-Skins: from 56.20 $listings: 36
month average 77.66 $, sold 10 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 76.50 $
(you get 66.52 $)) · buy orders: 91
sell on Market.CSGO: 77.86 $ to your card
cheapest lot 85.38 · lots 10CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) × 4100% of the wear range fits×1.10238.52 → 263.01 $
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.05111.98 → 117.97 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−233.66 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−226.05 $historical median
1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spectrum Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
7 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3366056
· The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −222.13$
· invest 350.50$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3366048
· The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −226.20$
· invest 350.50$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.634628 instead of 0.640000; StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.373498 instead of 0.380000
Craft 3366057
· The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −226.20$
· invest 350.50$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.373498 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.634628 instead of 0.640000
Craft 3366128
· The Wildfire Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit −227.06$
· invest 340.37$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)
Craft 3366136
· The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −227.06$
· invest 340.37$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)
Craft 3360478
· The Wildfire Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit −227.70$
· invest 341.01$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)
Craft 3360486
· The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −227.70$
· invest 341.01$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.