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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Glove Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +2.76$

Invest 6.20$

Average return 8.96$

ROI +44.4%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 15.61 $, profit at most −6.65 $

float premium: at least 8 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +2.80 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

0.53 $

at 0.53

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 0.64 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 1 282 · buy 0.0000–0.0129
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 0.97 $ +0.43 $ per item · on the market 495 · buy 0.0700–0.0970
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 1.78 $ +1.25 $ per item · on the market 1 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0647

Steam

×8

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

5.15 $

at 0.64

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) — 1.59 $ +0.95 $ per item · on the market 740 · buy 0.0000–0.0269
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 1.78 $ +1.13 $ per item · on the market 1 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0179
SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Factory New) — 2.62 $ +1.98 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0449

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Black Sand

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4782

0.52 $

at 0.52

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Ironwork (Well-Worn) — 0.62 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 242 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
P2000 | Turf (Well-Worn) — 0.67 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.70 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 534 · buy 0.1500–0.2391

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.20 $ +2.76 (+44.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈19, цена занижена

×6

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

3.86 $

at 0.64

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) — 1.59 $ +0.95 $ per item · on the market 740 · buy 0.0000–0.0340
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 1.78 $ +1.13 $ per item · on the market 1 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0226
SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Factory New) — 2.62 $ +1.98 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0567

Steam

×4

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

3.41 $

at 0.85

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) — 0.98 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1649
Glock-18 | Ironwork (Field-Tested) — 1.03 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 244 · buy 0.1500–0.1649
MP9 | Sand Scale (Minimal Wear) — 1.15 $ +0.29 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.0742

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.28 $ +2.79 (+38.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈17, цена занижена

×7

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

4.51 $

at 0.64

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) — 1.59 $ +0.95 $ per item · on the market 740 · buy 0.0000–0.0298
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 1.78 $ +1.13 $ per item · on the market 1 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0198
SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Factory New) — 2.62 $ +1.98 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0496

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Polymer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

0.70 $

at 0.70

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 0.85 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 209 · buy 0.1500–0.3261
MP7 | Cirrus (Field-Tested) — 0.91 $ +0.21 $ per item · on the market 542 · buy 0.1500–0.2445
P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) — 0.98 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.1500–0.3261

Steam

×2

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

1.71 $

at 0.85

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) — 0.98 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1630
Glock-18 | Ironwork (Field-Tested) — 1.03 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 244 · buy 0.1500–0.1630
MP9 | Sand Scale (Minimal Wear) — 1.15 $ +0.29 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.0733

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.92 $ +2.78 (+40.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈15, цена занижена

×8

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

5.15 $

at 0.64

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) — 1.59 $ +0.95 $ per item · on the market 740 · buy 0.0000–0.0269
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 1.78 $ +1.13 $ per item · on the market 1 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0179
SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Factory New) — 2.62 $ +1.98 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0449

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Black Sand

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4782

0.52 $

at 0.52

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Ironwork (Well-Worn) — 0.62 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 242 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
P2000 | Turf (Well-Worn) — 0.67 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.70 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 534 · buy 0.1500–0.2391

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

0.85 $

at 0.85

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) — 0.98 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1618
Glock-18 | Ironwork (Field-Tested) — 1.03 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 244 · buy 0.1500–0.1618
MP9 | Sand Scale (Minimal Wear) — 1.15 $ +0.29 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.0728

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.52 $ +2.80 (+43.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈15, цена занижена

×5

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

3.22 $

at 0.64

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) — 1.59 $ +0.95 $ per item · on the market 740 · buy 0.0000–0.0263
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 1.78 $ +1.13 $ per item · on the market 1 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0175
SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Factory New) — 2.62 $ +1.98 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0438

Steam

×3

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

2.56 $

at 0.85

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) — 0.98 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1615
Glock-18 | Ironwork (Field-Tested) — 1.03 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 244 · buy 0.1500–0.1615
MP9 | Sand Scale (Minimal Wear) — 1.15 $ +0.29 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.0726

Steam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Polymer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

2.30 $

at 1.15

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Cirrus (Minimal Wear) — 3.21 $ +2.06 $ per item · on the market 272 · buy 0.0700–0.1110
P2000 | Turf (Minimal Wear) — 3.71 $ +2.56 $ per item · on the market 194 · buy 0.0700–0.1480
Galil AR | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) — 3.76 $ +2.61 $ per item · on the market 191 · buy 0.0700–0.1480

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.08 $ +2.35 (+29.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 2%

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

12.75 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

13.14 $ 30.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

3.73 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

8.08 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Stinger

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.99 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Flashback

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

8.93 $ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

Nova | Gila

Factory New

float up to 0.029999

6.83 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.054999

38.75 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.17 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.95 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3367852 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 2.56$ · invest 6.32$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Battle-Scarred) instead of Galil AR | Black Sand (Battle-Scarred)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build