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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Recoil Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −169.62₴

Invest at least 304.73₴

Average return 135.11₴

ROI −55.7%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 304.73 ₴, profit at most −169.62 ₴

float premium: at least 163 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +14.20 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3845

63.11 ₴

at 21.04

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested) — 25.16 ₴ +4.12 ₴ per item · on the market 961 · buy 0.1500–0.2307
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 29.26 ₴ +8.22 ₴ per item · on the market 1 282 · buy 0.0000–0.0307
M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) — 32.77 ₴ +11.73 ₴ per item · on the market 907 · buy 0.1500–0.1538

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

48.31 ₴

at 24.15

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 29.26 ₴ +5.10 ₴ per item · on the market 1 282 · buy 0.0000–0.0131
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 43.91 ₴ +19.76 ₴ per item · on the market 495 · buy 0.0700–0.0989
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 80.79 ₴ +56.64 ₴ per item · on the market 1 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0659

Steam

×5

M4A4 | Poly Mag

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

22.41 ₴

at 4.48

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Field-Tested) — 4.87 ₴ +0.38 ₴ per item · on the market 759 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested) — 4.91 ₴ +0.42 ₴ per item · on the market 1 169 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) — 5.09 ₴ +0.61 ₴ per item · on the market 1 287 · buy 0.1500–0.1648

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 133.82 ₴ +1.29 (+1.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3845

63.11 ₴

at 21.04

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested) — 25.16 ₴ +4.12 ₴ per item · on the market 961 · buy 0.1500–0.2307
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 29.26 ₴ +8.22 ₴ per item · on the market 1 282 · buy 0.0000–0.0307
M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) — 32.77 ₴ +11.73 ₴ per item · on the market 907 · buy 0.1500–0.1538

Steam

×6

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

144.92 ₴

at 24.15

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 29.26 ₴ +5.10 ₴ per item · on the market 1 282 · buy 0.0000–0.0131
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 43.91 ₴ +19.76 ₴ per item · on the market 495 · buy 0.0700–0.0989
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 80.79 ₴ +56.64 ₴ per item · on the market 1 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0659

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Poly Mag

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

4.48 ₴

at 4.48

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Field-Tested) — 4.87 ₴ +0.38 ₴ per item · on the market 759 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested) — 4.91 ₴ +0.42 ₴ per item · on the market 1 169 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) — 5.09 ₴ +0.61 ₴ per item · on the market 1 287 · buy 0.1500–0.1648

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 212.51 ₴ +14.20 (+6.7%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3845

63.11 ₴

at 21.04

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested) — 25.16 ₴ +4.12 ₴ per item · on the market 961 · buy 0.1500–0.2307
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 29.26 ₴ +8.22 ₴ per item · on the market 1 282 · buy 0.0000–0.0307
M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) — 32.77 ₴ +11.73 ₴ per item · on the market 907 · buy 0.1500–0.1538

Steam

×5

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

120.76 ₴

at 24.15

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 29.26 ₴ +5.10 ₴ per item · on the market 1 282 · buy 0.0000–0.0131
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 43.91 ₴ +19.76 ₴ per item · on the market 495 · buy 0.0700–0.0989
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 80.79 ₴ +56.64 ₴ per item · on the market 1 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0659

Steam

×2

M4A4 | Poly Mag

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

8.96 ₴

at 4.48

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Field-Tested) — 4.87 ₴ +0.38 ₴ per item · on the market 759 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested) — 4.91 ₴ +0.42 ₴ per item · on the market 1 169 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) — 5.09 ₴ +0.61 ₴ per item · on the market 1 287 · buy 0.1500–0.1648

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 192.84 ₴ +10.97 (+5.7%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3845

63.11 ₴

at 21.04

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested) — 25.16 ₴ +4.12 ₴ per item · on the market 961 · buy 0.1500–0.2307
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 29.26 ₴ +8.22 ₴ per item · on the market 1 282 · buy 0.0000–0.0307
M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) — 32.77 ₴ +11.73 ₴ per item · on the market 907 · buy 0.1500–0.1538

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

96.61 ₴

at 24.15

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 29.26 ₴ +5.10 ₴ per item · on the market 1 282 · buy 0.0000–0.0131
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 43.91 ₴ +19.76 ₴ per item · on the market 495 · buy 0.0700–0.0989
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 80.79 ₴ +56.64 ₴ per item · on the market 1 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0659

Steam

×3

M4A4 | Poly Mag

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

13.45 ₴

at 4.48

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Field-Tested) — 4.87 ₴ +0.38 ₴ per item · on the market 759 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested) — 4.91 ₴ +0.42 ₴ per item · on the market 1 169 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) — 5.09 ₴ +0.61 ₴ per item · on the market 1 287 · buy 0.1500–0.1648

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 173.17 ₴ +7.74 (+4.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3845

63.11 ₴

at 21.04

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested) — 25.16 ₴ +4.12 ₴ per item · on the market 961 · buy 0.1500–0.2307
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 29.26 ₴ +8.22 ₴ per item · on the market 1 282 · buy 0.0000–0.0307
M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) — 32.77 ₴ +11.73 ₴ per item · on the market 907 · buy 0.1500–0.1538

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

72.46 ₴

at 24.15

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 29.26 ₴ +5.10 ₴ per item · on the market 1 282 · buy 0.0000–0.0131
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 43.91 ₴ +19.76 ₴ per item · on the market 495 · buy 0.0700–0.0989
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 80.79 ₴ +56.64 ₴ per item · on the market 1 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0659

Steam

×4

M4A4 | Poly Mag

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

17.93 ₴

at 4.48

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Field-Tested) — 4.87 ₴ +0.38 ₴ per item · on the market 759 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested) — 4.91 ₴ +0.42 ₴ per item · on the market 1 169 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) — 5.09 ₴ +0.61 ₴ per item · on the market 1 287 · buy 0.1500–0.1648

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 153.49 ₴ +4.52 (+2.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 67%

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.138461

195.50 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.057692

597.18 ₴ 16.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Vino Primo

Field-Tested

float up to 0.230769

68.46 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Field-Tested

float up to 0.230769

23.98 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

30.46 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Vent Rush

Field-Tested

float up to 0.161538

19.09 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

float up to 0.230769

24.56 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Field-Tested

float up to 0.161538

20.48 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Anubis Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −16.97 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −8.77 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build