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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −302.82₴

Invest at least 680.09₴

Average return 377.27₴

ROI −44.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 680.09 ₴, profit at most −302.82 ₴

float premium: at least 353 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

96.61 ₴

at 24.15

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 29.26 ₴ +5.10 ₴ per item · on the market 1 282 · buy 0.0000–0.0131
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 43.91 ₴ +19.76 ₴ per item · on the market 495 · buy 0.0700–0.0984
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 80.79 ₴ +56.64 ₴ per item · on the market 1 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0656

Steam

×5

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

146.28 ₴

at 29.26

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) — 72.25 ₴ +42.99 ₴ per item · on the market 740 · buy 0.0000–0.0321
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 80.79 ₴ +51.53 ₴ per item · on the market 1 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0214
SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Factory New) — 119.09 ₴ +89.84 ₴ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0536

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

41.81 ₴

at 41.81

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 55.87 ₴ +14.07 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.1113
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 69.04 ₴ +27.23 ₴ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.0700–0.1302
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 99.74 ₴ +57.93 ₴ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0000–0.0605

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 284.69 ₴ +92.57 (+32.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

48.31 ₴

at 24.15

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 29.26 ₴ +5.10 ₴ per item · on the market 1 282 · buy 0.0000–0.0132
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 43.91 ₴ +19.76 ₴ per item · on the market 495 · buy 0.0700–0.0991
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 80.79 ₴ +56.64 ₴ per item · on the market 1 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0660

Steam

×6

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

175.53 ₴

at 29.26

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) — 72.25 ₴ +42.99 ₴ per item · on the market 740 · buy 0.0000–0.0346
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 80.79 ₴ +51.53 ₴ per item · on the market 1 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0231
SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Factory New) — 119.09 ₴ +89.84 ₴ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0578

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

83.62 ₴

at 41.81

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 55.87 ₴ +14.07 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.1125
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 69.04 ₴ +27.23 ₴ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.0700–0.1309
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 99.74 ₴ +57.93 ₴ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0000–0.0611

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 307.45 ₴ +56.96 (+18.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

24.15 ₴

at 24.15

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 29.26 ₴ +5.10 ₴ per item · on the market 1 282 · buy 0.0000–0.0130
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 43.91 ₴ +19.76 ₴ per item · on the market 495 · buy 0.0700–0.0975
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 80.79 ₴ +56.64 ₴ per item · on the market 1 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0650

Steam

×6

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

175.53 ₴

at 29.26

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) — 72.25 ₴ +42.99 ₴ per item · on the market 740 · buy 0.0000–0.0288
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 80.79 ₴ +51.53 ₴ per item · on the market 1 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0192
SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Factory New) — 119.09 ₴ +89.84 ₴ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0480

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

125.43 ₴

at 41.81

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 55.87 ₴ +14.07 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.1097
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 69.04 ₴ +27.23 ₴ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.0700–0.1292
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 99.74 ₴ +57.93 ₴ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0000–0.0596

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 325.11 ₴ +26.46 (+8.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 32%
About break-even 5%

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

579.41 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.029166

597.18 ₴ 30.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

169.32 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.046833

318.27 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Griffin

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

318.72 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079333

458.17 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

108.18 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Anubis Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +27.24 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +58.87 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3367802 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 91.52₴ · invest 295.67₴
pricier variants exist

P90 | Module (Minimal Wear) instead of MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested); SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165267 instead of 0.164098; Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New): float at most 0.004646 instead of 0.004290
Craft 3368126 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 90.69₴ · invest 334.64₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Minimal Wear) instead of MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested); SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163050 instead of 0.164098; Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New): float at most 0.003971 instead of 0.004290

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build