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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −482.20₴

Invest at least 1 365.17₴

Average return 882.98₴

ROI −35.3%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 1 365.17 ₴, profit at most −482.20 ₴

float premium: at least 721 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

P250 | Exchanger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

140.82 ₴

at 23.47

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) — 24.15 ₴ +0.68 ₴ per item · on the market 277 · buy 0.0700–0.0785
MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear) — 24.77 ₴ +1.30 ₴ per item · on the market 297 · buy 0.0700–0.0785
AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear) — 102.40 ₴ +78.93 ₴ per item · on the market 851 · buy 0.0700–0.1303

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

307.19 ₴

at 102.40

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) — 104.34 ₴ +1.94 ₴ per item · on the market 331 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New) — 106.12 ₴ +3.72 ₴ per item · on the market 239 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
AWP | Acheron (Factory New) — 467.20 ₴ +364.81 ₴ per item · on the market 446 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

146.98 ₴

at 146.98

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 149.50 ₴ +2.52 ₴ per item · on the market 572 · buy 0.0000–0.0009
AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) — 165.59 ₴ +18.61 ₴ per item · on the market 230 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Factory New) — 204.80 ₴ +57.82 ₴ per item · on the market 220 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 594.99 ₴ +287.99 (+48.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −36 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×6

P250 | Exchanger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

140.82 ₴

at 23.47

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) — 24.15 ₴ +0.68 ₴ per item · on the market 277 · buy 0.0700–0.0789
MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear) — 24.77 ₴ +1.30 ₴ per item · on the market 297 · buy 0.0700–0.0789
AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear) — 102.40 ₴ +78.93 ₴ per item · on the market 851 · buy 0.0700–0.1310

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

587.92 ₴

at 146.98

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 149.50 ₴ +2.52 ₴ per item · on the market 572 · buy 0.0000–0.0010
AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) — 165.59 ₴ +18.61 ₴ per item · on the market 230 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Factory New) — 204.80 ₴ +57.82 ₴ per item · on the market 220 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 728.74 ₴ +116.78 (+16.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

P250 | Exchanger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

140.82 ₴

at 23.47

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) — 24.15 ₴ +0.68 ₴ per item · on the market 277 · buy 0.0700–0.0786
MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear) — 24.77 ₴ +1.30 ₴ per item · on the market 297 · buy 0.0700–0.0786
AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear) — 102.40 ₴ +78.93 ₴ per item · on the market 851 · buy 0.0700–0.1306

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

204.79 ₴

at 102.40

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) — 104.34 ₴ +1.94 ₴ per item · on the market 331 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New) — 106.12 ₴ +3.72 ₴ per item · on the market 239 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
AWP | Acheron (Factory New) — 467.20 ₴ +364.81 ₴ per item · on the market 446 · buy 0.0000–0.0126

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

293.96 ₴

at 146.98

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 149.50 ₴ +2.52 ₴ per item · on the market 572 · buy 0.0000–0.0010
AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) — 165.59 ₴ +18.61 ₴ per item · on the market 230 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Factory New) — 204.80 ₴ +57.82 ₴ per item · on the market 220 · buy 0.0000–0.0069

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 639.57 ₴ +230.92 (+36.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −158 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

P250 | Exchanger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

117.35 ₴

at 23.47

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) — 24.15 ₴ +0.68 ₴ per item · on the market 277 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear) — 24.77 ₴ +1.30 ₴ per item · on the market 297 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear) — 102.40 ₴ +78.93 ₴ per item · on the market 851 · buy 0.0700–0.1275

Steam

×1

AUG | Amber Fade

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

94.98 ₴

at 94.98

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) — 104.52 ₴ +9.54 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0700–0.1152
M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 112.28 ₴ +17.29 ₴ per item · on the market 259 · buy 0.0700–0.1094
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 117.40 ₴ +22.42 ₴ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1152

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

587.92 ₴

at 146.98

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 149.50 ₴ +2.52 ₴ per item · on the market 572 · buy 0.0000–0.0007
AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) — 165.59 ₴ +18.61 ₴ per item · on the market 230 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Factory New) — 204.80 ₴ +57.82 ₴ per item · on the market 220 · buy 0.0000–0.0054

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 800.26 ₴ +32.78 (+4.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

P250 | Exchanger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

140.82 ₴

at 23.47

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) — 24.15 ₴ +0.68 ₴ per item · on the market 277 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear) — 24.77 ₴ +1.30 ₴ per item · on the market 297 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear) — 102.40 ₴ +78.93 ₴ per item · on the market 851 · buy 0.0700–0.1233

Steam

×1

AWP | Acheron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

102.40 ₴

at 102.40

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New) — 102.40 ₴ · on the market 253 · buy 0.0000–0.0447
P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) — 104.34 ₴ +1.94 ₴ per item · on the market 331 · buy 0.0000–0.0447
P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New) — 106.12 ₴ +3.72 ₴ per item · on the market 239 · buy 0.0000–0.0447

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

440.94 ₴

at 146.98

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 149.50 ₴ +2.52 ₴ per item · on the market 572 · buy 0.0000–0.0005
AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) — 165.59 ₴ +18.61 ₴ per item · on the market 230 · buy 0.0000–0.0025
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Factory New) — 204.80 ₴ +57.82 ₴ per item · on the market 220 · buy 0.0000–0.0034

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 684.16 ₴ +173.85 (+25.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

568.10 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 289.92 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

231.31 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.043999

1 590.54 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

789.35 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

941.10 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.057999

650.27 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.039999

459.73 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Ancient Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +150.49 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +256.09 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The 2021 Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3368221 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 300.71₴ · invest 557.25₴
rare inputs

Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); P250 | Exchanger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.078552; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004315 instead of 0.007483
Craft 3368718 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 285.57₴ · invest 544.12₴
rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); P250 | Exchanger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076695 instead of 0.078552; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005858 instead of 0.007483
Craft 3368835 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 271.46₴ · invest 611.69₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); P250 | Exchanger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078275 instead of 0.078552; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.007241 instead of 0.007483

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build