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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The CS20 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −11.95$

Invest at least 20.75$

Average return 8.80$

ROI −57.6%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 20.75 $, profit at most −11.95 $

float premium: at least 12 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +1.02 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

1.57 $

at 1.57

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 2.11 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0813
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +4.51 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1138

Steam

×7

MP5-SD | Agent

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

5.07 $

at 0.72

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear) — 1.00 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0700–0.1220
P250 | Inferno (Minimal Wear) — 1.31 $ +0.58 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0700–0.1106
UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear) — 1.33 $ +0.60 $ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0700–0.1301

Steam

×2

M249 | Aztec

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2.00 $

at 1.00

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear) — 1.33 $ +0.33 $ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0700–0.0793
MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear) — 1.73 $ +0.72 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0992
Five-SeveN | Buddy (Factory New) — 3.51 $ +2.51 $ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.0000–0.0545

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.64 $ +0.15 (+1.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

12.57 $

at 1.57

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 2.11 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0813
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +4.51 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1138

Steam

×2

M249 | Aztec

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2.00 $

at 1.00

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear) — 1.33 $ +0.33 $ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0700–0.0793
MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear) — 1.73 $ +0.72 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0992
Five-SeveN | Buddy (Factory New) — 3.51 $ +2.51 $ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.0000–0.0545

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.57 $ +1.02 (+7.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

11.00 $

at 1.57

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 2.11 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0813
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +4.51 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1138

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Agent

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

0.72 $

at 0.72

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear) — 1.00 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0700–0.1220
P250 | Inferno (Minimal Wear) — 1.31 $ +0.58 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0700–0.1106
UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear) — 1.33 $ +0.60 $ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0700–0.1301

Steam

×2

M249 | Aztec

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2.00 $

at 1.00

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear) — 1.33 $ +0.33 $ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0700–0.0793
MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear) — 1.73 $ +0.72 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0992
Five-SeveN | Buddy (Factory New) — 3.51 $ +2.51 $ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.0000–0.0545

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.72 $ +0.90 (+6.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

7.86 $

at 1.57

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 2.11 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0813
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +4.51 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1138

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Agent

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

2.17 $

at 0.72

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear) — 1.00 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0700–0.1220
P250 | Inferno (Minimal Wear) — 1.31 $ +0.58 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0700–0.1106
UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear) — 1.33 $ +0.60 $ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0700–0.1301

Steam

×2

M249 | Aztec

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2.00 $

at 1.00

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear) — 1.33 $ +0.33 $ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0700–0.0793
MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear) — 1.73 $ +0.72 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0992
Five-SeveN | Buddy (Factory New) — 3.51 $ +2.51 $ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.0000–0.0545

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.03 $ +0.65 (+5.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

6.28 $

at 1.57

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 2.11 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0813
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +4.51 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1138

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Agent

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

2.90 $

at 0.72

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear) — 1.00 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0700–0.1220
P250 | Inferno (Minimal Wear) — 1.31 $ +0.58 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0700–0.1106
UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear) — 1.33 $ +0.60 $ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0700–0.1301

Steam

×2

M249 | Aztec

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2.00 $

at 1.00

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear) — 1.33 $ +0.33 $ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0700–0.0793
MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear) — 1.73 $ +0.72 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0992
Five-SeveN | Buddy (Factory New) — 3.51 $ +2.51 $ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.0000–0.0545

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.18 $ +0.52 (+4.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 35%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

AUG | Death by Puppy

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

9.73 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Hydra

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11.92 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Nostalgia

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085499

5.35 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Control Panel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

35.26 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Remote Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5.06 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.27 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.32 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The CS20 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build