The 2018 Nuke Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

6.28 $

at 1.57

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 2.11 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0819
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +4.51 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1147

Steam

×6

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

10.28 $

at 1.71

if this one runs out, you can take

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) — 1.76 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 489 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
Galil AR | Control (Factory New) — 2.86 $ +1.15 $ per item · on the market 279 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New) — 3.41 $ +1.69 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0000–0.0070

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.57 $ +25.57 (+154.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1725

1.57 $

at 1.57

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 2.11 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0862
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +4.51 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1207

Steam

×6

P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

6.08 $

at 1.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) — 1.13 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0818
Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New) — 1.71 $ +0.70 $ per item · on the market 819 · buy 0.0000–0.0466
Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) — 1.76 $ +0.75 $ per item · on the market 489 · buy 0.0000–0.0573

Steam

×3

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

5.14 $

at 1.71

if this one runs out, you can take

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) — 1.76 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 489 · buy 0.0000–0.0084
Galil AR | Control (Factory New) — 2.86 $ +1.15 $ per item · on the market 279 · buy 0.0000–0.0096
P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New) — 3.41 $ +1.69 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0000–0.0114

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.79 $ +9.53 (+74.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −47 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

46.36 $

at 5.15

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Factory New) — 12.87 $ +7.72 $ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0000–0.0383
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 53.15 $ +48.00 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0536

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

1.71 $

at 1.71

if this one runs out, you can take

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) — 1.76 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 489 · buy 0.0000–0.0071
Galil AR | Control (Factory New) — 2.86 $ +1.15 $ per item · on the market 279 · buy 0.0000–0.0081
P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New) — 3.41 $ +1.69 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0000–0.0096

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 48.08 $ +27.09 (+56.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1688

3.14 $

at 1.57

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 2.11 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0844
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +4.51 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1181

Steam

×4

P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

4.05 $

at 1.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) — 1.13 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0805
Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New) — 1.71 $ +0.70 $ per item · on the market 819 · buy 0.0000–0.0459
Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) — 1.76 $ +0.75 $ per item · on the market 489 · buy 0.0000–0.0563

Steam

×4

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

6.86 $

at 1.71

if this one runs out, you can take

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) — 1.76 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 489 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
Galil AR | Control (Factory New) — 2.86 $ +1.15 $ per item · on the market 279 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New) — 3.41 $ +1.69 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0000–0.0095

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.05 $ +14.87 (+105.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

4.71 $

at 1.57

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 2.11 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0830
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +4.51 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1162

Steam

×2

P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

2.03 $

at 1.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) — 1.13 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0795
Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New) — 1.71 $ +0.70 $ per item · on the market 819 · buy 0.0000–0.0453
Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) — 1.76 $ +0.75 $ per item · on the market 489 · buy 0.0000–0.0556

Steam

×5

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

8.57 $

at 1.71

if this one runs out, you can take

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) — 1.76 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 489 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
Galil AR | Control (Factory New) — 2.86 $ +1.15 $ per item · on the market 279 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New) — 3.41 $ +1.69 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.31 $ +20.22 (+132.1%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 20%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Control Panel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

160.11 $ 20.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Remote Control

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27.96 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18.57 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Shinobu

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20.77 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.85 $ 20.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +17.64 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +22.49 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3368452 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 32.16$ · invest 17.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −1 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162269 instead of 0.163881
Craft 3368309 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 31.35$ · invest 26.86$
profit on prices without salesat least −13 $ rare inputs

P250 | Supernova (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161675 instead of 0.163881
Craft 3368460 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 28.96$ · invest 23.60$
profit on prices without salesat least −4 $ rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.163881
Craft 3368737 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 27.75$ · invest 18.72$
profit on prices without salesat least −9 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163660 instead of 0.163881
Craft 3368738 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 26.30$ · invest 22.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −11 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Core Breach (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161549 instead of 0.163881
Craft 3368746 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 25.04$ · invest 22.23$
profit on prices without salesat least −8 $ rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162409 instead of 0.163881
Craft 3368361 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 24.71$ · invest 16.88$
profit on prices without salesat least −8 $ rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163660 instead of 0.163881
Craft 3368662 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 24.64$ · invest 14.88$
profit on prices without salesat least −8 $ rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164685 instead of 0.163881

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build