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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +3.05₴

Invest 595.67₴

Average return 598.72₴

ROI +0.5%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 1 539.59 ₴, profit at most −940.87 ₴

float premium: at least 921 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3844

57.49 ₴

at 57.49

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Field-Tested) — 65.32 ₴ +7.83 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.1500–0.1922
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) — 95.78 ₴ +38.29 ₴ per item · on the market 878 · buy 0.1500–0.2690

Steam

×9

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

538.17 ₴

at 59.80

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Exothermic (Field-Tested) — 135.47 ₴ +75.67 ₴ per item · on the market 707 · buy 0.1500–0.1645

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 595.67 ₴ +3.05 (+0.5%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 5%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 90%

about break-even

M4A1-S | Party Animal

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

699.77 ₴ 90.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Control Panel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

1 054.30 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Remote Control

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

120.43 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −50.60 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −23.95 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3380719 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.77₴ · invest 598.44₴
rare inputs

SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Well-Worn) instead of MAG-7 | Core Breach (Well-Worn)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build