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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −25.68$

Invest at least 85.73$

Average return 60.05$

ROI −29.9%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 85.73 $, profit at most −25.68 $

float premium: at least 49 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +24.81 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −28 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

1.57 $

at 1.57

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 2.11 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0843
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +4.51 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1181

Steam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

12.74 $

at 2.55

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 5.38 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0474
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +3.88 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0688
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.35 $ +23.80 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0688

Steam

×4

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

21.51 $

at 5.38

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0082
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 7.37 $ +1.99 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0092
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.35 $ +20.97 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0082

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35.82 $ +24.23 (+67.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −50 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

36.06 $

at 5.15

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Factory New) — 12.87 $ +7.72 $ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0000–0.0393
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 53.15 $ +48.00 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0551

Steam

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

16.13 $

at 5.38

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0111
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 7.37 $ +1.99 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0123
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.35 $ +20.97 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0111

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 52.19 $ +22.34 (+42.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −55 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

36.06 $

at 5.15

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Factory New) — 12.87 $ +7.72 $ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0000–0.0392
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 53.15 $ +48.00 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0549

Steam

×1

Souvenir AUG | Random Access

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

10.42 $

at 10.42

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Core Breach (Factory New) — 35.70 $ +25.28 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0148
Souvenir Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 70.72 $ +60.30 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0103

souvenirSteam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

10.76 $

at 5.38

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0107
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 7.37 $ +1.99 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0119
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.35 $ +20.97 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0107

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57.23 $ +19.71 (+34.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −61 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

36.06 $

at 5.15

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Factory New) — 12.87 $ +7.72 $ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0000–0.0391
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 53.15 $ +48.00 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0547

Steam

×2

Souvenir AUG | Random Access

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

20.83 $

at 10.42

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Core Breach (Factory New) — 35.70 $ +25.28 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0144
Souvenir Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 70.72 $ +60.30 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0101

souvenirSteam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

5.38 $

at 5.38

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0104
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 7.37 $ +1.99 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0116
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.35 $ +20.97 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0104

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 62.27 $ +17.08 (+27.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −45 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

1.57 $

at 1.57

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 2.11 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0843
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +4.51 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1181

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

25.76 $

at 5.15

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Factory New) — 12.87 $ +7.72 $ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0000–0.0382
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 53.15 $ +48.00 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0535

Steam

×4

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

21.51 $

at 5.38

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0082
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 7.37 $ +1.99 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0092
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.35 $ +20.97 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0082

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 48.84 $ +23.28 (+47.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

in profit

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

135.82 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

32.38 $ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

30.64 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Control Panel

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

160.11 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Remote Control

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

27.96 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14.09 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +21.59 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build