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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −25.35$

Invest at least 84.75$

Average return 59.40$

ROI −29.9%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 84.75 $, profit at most −25.35 $

float premium: at least 47 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +26.58 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −17 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

AUG | Random Access

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

8.42 $

at 2.11

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Core Breach (Minimal Wear) — 5.15 $ +3.05 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.1490
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +3.97 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1043

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

5.15 $

at 5.15

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Factory New) — 12.87 $ +7.72 $ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0000–0.0372
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 53.15 $ +48.00 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0521

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

21.74 $

at 4.35

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +1.40 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0035
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) — 19.01 $ +14.66 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35.32 $ +24.08 (+68.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1761

1.57 $

at 1.57

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 2.11 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0880
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +4.51 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1233

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

11.22 $

at 2.80

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) — 3.48 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 473 · buy 0.0700–0.1163
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +2.95 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0697

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

21.74 $

at 4.35

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +1.40 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) — 19.01 $ +14.66 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0117

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34.53 $ +6.97 (+20.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −47 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

46.36 $

at 5.15

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Factory New) — 12.87 $ +7.72 $ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0000–0.0384
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 53.15 $ +48.00 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0537

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

4.35 $

at 4.35

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +1.40 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) — 19.01 $ +14.66 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0087

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50.71 $ +26.58 (+52.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

4.71 $

at 1.57

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 2.11 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0842
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +4.51 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1179

Steam

×2

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

6.95 $

at 3.48

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) — 4.35 $ +0.87 $ per item · on the market 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0519
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +2.27 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0458

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

21.74 $

at 4.35

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +1.40 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) — 19.01 $ +14.66 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0082

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 33.41 $ +17.04 (+51.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

3.14 $

at 1.57

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 2.11 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0828
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +4.51 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1160

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

8.41 $

at 2.80

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) — 3.48 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 473 · buy 0.0700–0.1110
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +2.95 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0666

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

21.74 $

at 4.35

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +1.40 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0042
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) — 19.01 $ +14.66 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0070

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 33.30 $ +12.68 (+38.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Control Panel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

160.11 $ 25.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Remote Control

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27.96 $ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon

Factory New

float up to 0.038809

29.91 $ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | AXIA

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

55.26 $ 25.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection Variant 4 only The Sport & Field Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12.86 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +19.86 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Sport & Field Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3368819 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 22.46$ · invest 44.85$
profit on prices without salesat least −38 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074172 instead of 0.074535; MAG-7 | Core Breach (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Core Breach (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074172 instead of 0.074535
Craft 3368616 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 21.87$ · invest 37.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −3 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested), FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested), USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Core Breach (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074025 instead of 0.074535

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build