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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +21.72$

Invest 57.16$

Average return 78.89$

ROI +38.0%

Chance of profit 53%

With float: invest at least 138.52 $, profit at most −59.63 $

float premium: at least 75 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +24.20 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −57 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

1.57 $

at 1.57

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 2.11 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0814
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +4.51 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1140

Steam

×7

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

36.06 $

at 5.15

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Factory New) — 12.87 $ +7.72 $ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0000–0.0372
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 53.15 $ +48.00 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0521

Steam

×2

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

19.53 $

at 9.77

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New) — 28.02 $ +18.25 $ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.0200–0.0229

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57.16 $ +21.72 (+38.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −56 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

46.36 $

at 5.15

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Factory New) — 12.87 $ +7.72 $ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0000–0.0382
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 53.15 $ +48.00 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0535

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

9.77 $

at 9.77

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New) — 28.02 $ +18.25 $ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.0200–0.0243

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 56.13 $ +24.20 (+43.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −64 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

4.71 $

at 1.57

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 2.11 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0831
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +4.51 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1164

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

10.30 $

at 5.15

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Factory New) — 12.87 $ +7.72 $ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0000–0.0378
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 53.15 $ +48.00 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0529

Steam

×5

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

48.84 $

at 9.77

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New) — 28.02 $ +18.25 $ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.0200–0.0237

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 63.85 $ +10.71 (+16.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −59 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

AUG | Random Access

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

4.21 $

at 2.11

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Core Breach (Minimal Wear) — 5.15 $ +3.05 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.1498
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +3.97 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1048

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

25.76 $

at 5.15

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Factory New) — 12.87 $ +7.72 $ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0000–0.0374
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 53.15 $ +48.00 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0524

Steam

×3

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

29.30 $

at 9.77

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New) — 28.02 $ +18.25 $ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.0200–0.0232

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.27 $ +18.17 (+30.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −65 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

6.28 $

at 1.57

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 2.11 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0815
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 6.08 $ +4.51 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1141

Steam

×6

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

58.60 $

at 9.77

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New) — 28.02 $ +18.25 $ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.0200–0.0230

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 64.89 $ +8.23 (+12.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 47%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Control Panel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

160.11 $ 40.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Remote Control

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27.96 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Electric Hive

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

80.51 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

102.10 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

float up to 0.046599

49.78 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Boreal Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.72 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15.49 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build