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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −12 601.85₽

Invest at least 24 496.67₽

Average return 11 894.82₽

ROI −51.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 24 496.67 ₽, profit at most −12 601.85 ₽

float premium: at least 13 253 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 771 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

2 415.60 ₽

at 2 415.60

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New) — 2 818.36 ₽ +402.76 ₽ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New) — 5 207.60 ₽ +2 792.00 ₽ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0144

souvenirSteam

×9

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

7 330.41 ₽

at 814.49

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 1 398.46 ₽ +583.97 ₽ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0093
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 1 431.40 ₽ +616.91 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0077
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 1 680.22 ₽ +865.73 ₽ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0080

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 746.01 ₽ +2 148.81 (+22.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 147 ₽

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

4 831.20 ₽

at 2 415.60

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New) — 2 818.36 ₽ +402.76 ₽ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0071
Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New) — 5 207.60 ₽ +2 792.00 ₽ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0143

souvenirSteam

×8

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

6 515.92 ₽

at 814.49

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 1 398.46 ₽ +583.97 ₽ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0093
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 1 431.40 ₽ +616.91 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0077
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 1 680.22 ₽ +865.73 ₽ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0079

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11 347.12 ₽ +1 190.63 (+10.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 523 ₽

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

7 246.80 ₽

at 2 415.60

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New) — 2 818.36 ₽ +402.76 ₽ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0071
Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New) — 5 207.60 ₽ +2 792.00 ₽ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0142

souvenirSteam

×7

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

5 701.43 ₽

at 814.49

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 1 398.46 ₽ +583.97 ₽ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0092
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 1 431.40 ₽ +616.91 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 1 680.22 ₽ +865.73 ₽ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0079

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 948.23 ₽ +232.45 (+1.8%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

6 122.70 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

5 958.00 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 738.33 ₽ 30.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Death Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.010810

23 048.21 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

17 618.50 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −815.05 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 725.83 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The 2021 Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3370137 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 2 244.71₽ · invest 9 706.20₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 731 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005466 instead of 0.005361
Craft 3367410 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 2 033.91₽ · invest 8 352.61₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 325 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Vino Primo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005361

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build