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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ascent Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +0.01$

Invest 1.02$

Average return 1.03$

ROI +0.5%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 2.67 $, profit at most −1.65 $

float premium: at least 2 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

0.99 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Minimal Wear) — 0.11 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 858 · buy 0.0700–0.0726
Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 905 · buy 0.0700–0.0711
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 727 · buy 0.0700–0.0741

souvenirSteam

×1

Galil AR | Grey Smoke

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

0.03 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Storm Camo (Minimal Wear) — 0.03 $ · on the market 22 940 · buy 0.0700–0.0787
MP5-SD | Lime Hex (Minimal Wear) — 0.03 $ · on the market 28 113 · buy 0.0700–0.0788
MP9 | Buff Blue (Minimal Wear) — 0.03 $ · on the market 9 731 · buy 0.0700–0.0865

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.02 $ +0.01 (+0.5%)

What you get 13 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 68%

Order

in profit

best

AUG | Spalted Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1.61 $ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072916

1.20 $ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

M249 | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072916

1.23 $ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Old Roots

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072916

1.17 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.102083

0.06 $ 1.11%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Sky Blue

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

0.07 $ 1.11%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Robin's Egg

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

0.07 $ 1.11%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Ocean Topo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

0.21 $ 1.11%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

0.08 $ 1.11%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Sour Grapes

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

0.09 $ 1.11%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Turquoise Pour

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098937

0.07 $ 1.11%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Electric Blue

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.109374

0.09 $ 1.11%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

0.06 $ 1.11%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ascent Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 4 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 5 The Italy Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.19 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.05 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Ascent Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3368966 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 0.01$ · invest 1.02$
AUG | Commando Company (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074639 instead of 0.074152

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ascent Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 13 outcomes

More

How to build